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La Liga· 2024/25 · Matchweek 30

  • HT 0–1
  • Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
  • Kick-off
  • Referee: not supplied
  • Data last checked ; unchanged since

Key eventsavailable

  1. 90+5′Goal · ValenciaH. Duro · (assist R. Mir)
  2. 90+4′Substitution · ValenciaE. Barrenechea ↔ H. Guillamón
  3. 90+8′Yellow card · ValenciaC. Mosquera
  4. 85′Substitution · Real MadridL. Vázquez ↔ A. Güler
  5. 77′Substitution · Real MadridVinicius Junior ↔ D. Alaba
  6. 77′Substitution · Real MadridL. Modrić ↔ Endrick
  7. 77′Substitution · Real MadridF. García ↔ E. Camavinga
  8. 74′Substitution · ValenciaA. Almeida ↔ F. Pérez
  9. 74′Substitution · ValenciaD. Sousa ↔ H. Duro
  10. 74′Substitution · ValenciaJ. Guerra ↔ Pepelu
  11. 59′Substitution · ValenciaU. Sadiq ↔ R. Mir
  12. 57′Substitution · Real MadridB. Díaz ↔ Rodrygo
  13. 50′Goal · Real MadridVinicius Junior · (assist J. Bellingham)
  14. 46′Yellow card · ValenciaU. Sadiq
  15. 22′VAR · Real Madrid · Goal disallowedM. Diakhaby
  16. 15′Goal · ValenciaM. Diakhaby · (assist A. Almeida)
  17. 13′Penalty missed · Real MadridVinicius Junior
  18. 11′VAR · Real Madrid · Penalty confirmedK. Mbappé
  19. 10′Yellow card · ValenciaC. Tárrega
  20. 15:15Kick-off

Latest first. Names and minutes are as recorded for the match.

What was forecast, and what happened

Statistical model

Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

One match says little: the model's record

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Match summary

No summary has been written for this match yet.

Competition contextavailable

La Liga 2024/25

League table, before kick-off

Real Madrid

2nd of 20 · 63 pts from 29 played

W 19 · D 6 · L 4 · GD +33

Form in this competition only, latest first: W W W L W

  • 3 pts behind first
  • 3 pts behind the place above
  • 6 pts clear of the place below

Valencia

16th of 20 · 31 pts from 29 played

W 7 · D 10 · L 12 · GD -14

Form in this competition only, latest first: W D W D L

  • 35 pts behind first
  • 1 pt behind the place above
  • 1 pt clear of the place below

Form here counts only matches in this competition; Recent form counts the last five in every competition.

First: Barcelona, 66 pts

From the 291 finished matches of this table played before kick-off. Last result change .

Where the qualification, promotion and relegation places fall is not in our records, so no gap to them is shown.

Venuedata delayed

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

This ground's details have not been fetched yet.

Related news

News sources last checked · Stories from –

No publisher has reported on this match or its sides in the week around it.

Statisticsavailable

  • 4Blocked shots3
  • 9Corners4
  • 3.47Expected goals (xG)0.78
  • 10Fouls13
  • 6Offsides1
  • 91%Pass accuracy77%
  • 621Passes340
  • 565Accurate passes261
  • 65%Possession35%
  • 0Saves8
  • 21Shots10
  • 8Shots off target5
  • 9Shots on target2
  • 0Yellow cards4

Player statisticsavailable

Scroll sideways to see every column.

Real Madrid
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
A. Rüdiger906.9–03–2
A. Tchouaméni907.7–0––1
F. Valverde908.3–0124
Fran906.2–0–––
J. Bellingham907.9–1143
K. Mbappé908.2–052–
L. Vázquez856.9–0––2
F. García776.9–0–21
L. Modrić777.9–0–33
Vinicius Junior776.910411
B. Díaz576.5–0–1–
Rodrygo337.2–0212
A. Güler146.6–0–1–
D. Alaba136.6–0–1–
E. Camavinga136.7–0––1
Endrick136.6–01––
Valencia
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
C. Tárrega906.9–021–
C. Mosquera906.9–0––4
D. López906.6–0111
G. Mamardashvili908.3–0–––
J. Vázquez906.6–0––2
M. Diakhaby907.9102–2
E. Barrenechea896.7–0–11
A. Almeida747.9–1–32
D. Sousa746.3–0–12
J. Guerra746.9–0121
U. Sadiq596.3–0–––
R. Mir316.9–1–1–
F. Pérez166.9–0––3
H. Duro167.3101––
Pepelu166.9–0–––
H. Guillamón1––0–––

xG (Highlightly)not supplied

Not supplied for this match.

Recent form

Real Madridavailable

  • L3–4 v Real SociedadCopa del Rey
  • W3–2 v LeganésLa Liga
  • W2–1 at VillarrealLa Liga
  • L0–1 at Atlético MadridUEFA Champions League
  • W2–1 v Rayo VallecanoLa Liga

Valenciaavailable

  • W1–0 v MallorcaLa Liga
  • D1–1 at GironaLa Liga
  • W2–1 v ValladolidLa Liga
  • D3–3 at OsasunaLa Liga
  • L0–3 v Atlético MadridLa Liga

Head-to-headavailable

  • Valencia 1–2 Real MadridLa Liga · Estadio de Mestalla
  • Valencia 2–2 Real MadridLa Liga · Estadio de Mestalla
  • Real Madrid 5–1 ValenciaLa Liga · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Valencia 1–0 Real MadridLa Liga · Estadio de Mestalla
  • Real Madrid 2–0 ValenciaLa Liga · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Line-upsavailable

Home side at the bottom. Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.

Real Madrid · Bench

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Valencia · Bench

Coach: Carlos Corberán Vallet

Availabilitynot supplied

Not supplied for this match.

Key players

Real Madridavailable

  1. K. Mbappé · Forward2,339 min in 27 matches · 22 goals · 3 assists
  2. F. Valverde · Midfielder2,225 min in 27 matches · 5 goals · 3 assists
  3. T. Courtois · Goalkeeper2,160 min in 24 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists

From player figures for all 29 matches played.

Valenciaavailable

  1. C. Mosquera · Defender2,510 min in 28 matches · 1 goal · 0 assists
  2. C. Tárrega · Defender2,307 min in 26 matches · 2 goals · 0 assists
  3. L. Rioja · Midfielder2,268 min in 28 matches · 5 goals · 2 assists

From player figures for all 29 matches played.

Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.

Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in La Liga 2024/25 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.

Match discussion

Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.

Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.

Statistical model

Model forecastnot supplied

Computed by FMIP’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.

No forecast has been computed for this match yet.

How accurate has the model been?

Power Index

no Power Index has been computed for this match yet

Founder’s analysis

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Your prediction Locked at kick-off

Sign in to predict this match. Predictions need a verified account and lock at kick-off.

Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.

Community forecast

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Analysis from approved contributors

Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.

No contributor has published an analysis of this match.

Where to watch

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Coverage for this season

  • scores: available
  • incidents: available
  • lineups: available
  • statistics: available
  • standings: available
  • availability: not supplied
  • advanced statistics: available