← ScoresTimes: UK time
- HT 1–0
- Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia
- Kick-off
- Referee: not supplied
- Data last checked ; unchanged since
Key eventsavailable
- 90+6′Goal · Real MadridJ. Bellingham
- 90+7′Substitution · Real MadridJ. Bellingham ↔ R. Asencio
- 88′Substitution · ValenciaA. Almeida ↔ D. Gómez
- 88′Substitution · ValenciaY. Gasiorowski ↔ J. Vázquez
- 87′Yellow card · Real MadridL. Modrić
- 85′Goal · Real MadridL. Modrić · (assist J. Bellingham)
- 80′Substitution · Real MadridD. Ceballos ↔ L. Modrić
- 79′Red card · Real MadridVinicius Junior
- 78′VAR · Real Madrid · Card upgraded to redVinicius Junior
- 78′Yellow card · Real MadridL. Vázquez
- 78′Yellow card · ValenciaS. Dimitrievski
- 69′Yellow card · ValenciaS. Canós
- 68′Substitution · Real MadridRodrygo ↔ B. Díaz
- 68′Substitution · Real MadridF. Mendy ↔ E. Camavinga
- 68′Substitution · ValenciaJ. Guerra ↔ H. Guillamón
- 67′Substitution · ValenciaD. López ↔ S. Canós
- 61′VAR · Real Madrid · Goal disallowedK. Mbappé
- 55′Penalty missed · Real MadridJ. Bellingham
- 36′Yellow card · Real MadridD. Ceballos
- 27′Goal · ValenciaH. Duro
- 20:00Kick-off
Latest first. Names and minutes are as recorded for the match.
What was forecast, and what happened
Statistical model
Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
One match says little: the model's recordFounder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
Match summary
No summary has been written for this match yet.
Competition contextavailable
La Liga 2024/25
League table, before kick-off
19th of 20 · 12 pts from 17 played
W 2 · D 6 · L 9 · GD -10
Form in this competition only, latest first: D D L L L
- 29 pts behind first
- 3 pts behind the place above
- Level on points with the place below
2nd of 20 · 40 pts from 18 played
W 12 · D 4 · L 2 · GD +23
Form in this competition only, latest first: W D W L W
- 1 pt behind first
- 1 pt behind the place above
- 2 pts clear of the place below
Form here counts only matches in this competition; Recent form counts the last five in every competition.
First: Atlético Madrid, 41 pts
From the 181 finished matches of this table played before kick-off. Last result change .
Where the qualification, promotion and relegation places fall is not in our records, so no gap to them is shown.
Related news
News sources last checked · Stories from –
No publisher has reported on this match or its sides in the week around it.
Statisticsavailable
- 0Blocked shots4
- 2Corners5
- 0.89Expected goals (xG)2.01
- 16Fouls9
- 0Offsides4
- 81%Pass accuracy89%
- 374Passes622
- 304Accurate passes553
- 38%Possession62%
- 0Red cards1
- 3Saves4
- 8Shots17
- 3Shots off target8
- 5Shots on target5
- 2Yellow cards3
Player statisticsavailable
Scroll sideways to see every column.
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tárrega | 90 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| C. Mosquera | 90 | 6.6 | – | 0 | – | – | 2 |
| D. Foulquier | 90 | 6.9 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| E. Barrenechea | 90 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | 3 |
| H. Duro | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | – | – |
| L. Rioja | 90 | 7.2 | – | 0 | 1 | – | 1 |
| S. Dimitrievski | 90 | 6.6 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| A. Almeida | 88 | 6.9 | – | 0 | 2 | – | 2 |
| Y. Gasiorowski | 88 | 6.9 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| J. Guerra | 68 | 6.9 | – | 0 | 2 | – | – |
| D. López | 67 | 7.2 | – | 0 | – | 5 | 1 |
| S. Canós | 23 | 6.0 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| H. Guillamón | 22 | 4.9 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 1 |
| D. Gómez | 13 | 6.2 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| J. Vázquez | 13 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rüdiger | 90 | 6.9 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| A. Tchouaméni | 90 | 7.3 | – | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| F. Valverde | 90 | 7.2 | – | 0 | 3 | 1 | – |
| K. Mbappé | 90 | 6.9 | – | 0 | – | 1 | – |
| L. Vázquez | 90 | 6.9 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| T. Courtois | 90 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| J. Bellingham | 89 | 9.2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| D. Ceballos | 80 | 7.5 | – | 0 | – | 3 | 1 |
| Vinicius Junior | 79 | 6.3 | – | 0 | 2 | – | 4 |
| F. Mendy | 68 | 6.9 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| Rodrygo | 68 | 6.6 | – | 0 | 1 | 2 | – |
| B. Díaz | 22 | 6.9 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| E. Camavinga | 22 | 7.2 | – | 0 | – | – | 2 |
| L. Modrić | 10 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | – | 1 |
| R. Asencio | 1 | – | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
xG (Highlightly)not supplied
Not supplied for this match.
Recent form
Valenciaavailable
- D2–2 v AlavésLa Liga
- D1–1 at EspanyolLa Liga
- L0–1 at ValladolidLa Liga
- L0–1 v Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
- W3–1 at EjeaCopa del Rey
Real Madridavailable
- W4–2 v SevillaLa Liga
- D3–3 at Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
- W3–2 at AtalantaUEFA Champions League
- W3–0 at GironaLa Liga
- L1–2 at Athletic ClubLa Liga
Head-to-headavailable
- Valencia 2–2 Real MadridLa Liga · Estadio de Mestalla
- Real Madrid 5–1 ValenciaLa Liga · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
- Valencia 1–0 Real MadridLa Liga · Estadio de Mestalla
- Real Madrid 2–0 ValenciaLa Liga · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
- Real Madrid 4–1 ValenciaLa Liga · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Line-upsavailable
Real Madrid4-2-3-1
Valencia4-4-2
Home side at the bottom. Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.
Valencia · Bench
1 J. Doménech
2 M. Caufriez
6 H. Guillamón
7 S. Canós
17 D. Gómez
21 J. Vázquez
30 G. Valera
31 Rubo
32 M. Tejón
35 V. Abril
38 I. Córdoba
Coach: Carlos Corberán Vallet
Real Madrid · Bench
6 E. Camavinga
10 L. Modrić
13 A. Lunin
15 A. Güler
16 Endrick
18 J. Vallejo
20 F. García
21 B. Díaz
26 Fran
35 R. Asencio
Coach: C. Ancelotti
Availabilitynot supplied
Not supplied for this match.
Key players
Valenciaavailable
- C. Mosquera · Defender1,520 min in 17 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
- L. Rioja · Defender1,313 min in 16 matches · 3 goals · 0 assists
- D. López · Midfielder1,296 min in 17 matches · 3 goals · 2 assists
From player figures for all 17 matches played.
Real Madridavailable
- F. Valverde · Midfielder1,563 min in 18 matches · 5 goals · 2 assists
- A. Rüdiger · Defender1,540 min in 18 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
- K. Mbappé · Forward1,376 min in 16 matches · 10 goals · 2 assists
From player figures for all 18 matches played.
Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.
Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in La Liga 2024/25 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.
Match discussion
Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.
Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.
Statistical model
Model forecastnot supplied
Computed by FMIP’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.
No forecast has been computed for this match yet.
Power Index
no Power Index has been computed for this match yet
Founder’s analysis
Founder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Your prediction Locked at kick-off
Sign in to predict this match. Predictions need a verified account and lock at kick-off.
Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.
Community forecast
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
Analysis from approved contributors
Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.
No contributor has published an analysis of this match.
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Coverage for this season
- scores: available
- incidents: available
- lineups: available
- statistics: available
- standings: available
- availability: not supplied
- advanced statistics: available