ModelWhat was forecast, what happened
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
← ScoresTimes: UK time
Bundesliga· 2024/25 · Matchweek 27
Bayern Munich v St. Pauli
- Kick-off
- Allianz Arena, Munich
- Referee: F. Badstübner
- Last data update
What was forecast, and what happened
Statistical model
Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
One match says little: the model's recordFounder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
available
HT
- 14:30Kick-off
- 13′Yellow card · Bayern MunichR. Guerreiro
- 17′Goal · Bayern MunichH. Kane · (assist M. Olise)
- 27′Goal · St. PauliE. Saad · (assist M. Saliakas)
- 45+3′Yellow card · Bayern MunichM. Olise
- 46′Substitution · Bayern MunichJ. Palhinha on · L. Goretzka off
- 51′Yellow card · Bayern MunichJ. Palhinha
- 53′Goal · Bayern MunichL. Sané · (assist M. Olise)
- 58′Substitution · Bayern MunichH. Ito on · R. Guerreiro off
- 60′Substitution · St. PauliS. Francisco Ramos on · A. Dźwigała off
- 71′Goal · Bayern MunichL. Sané · (assist H. Kane)
- 72′Substitution · St. PauliO. Afolayan on · E. Saad off
- 78′Substitution · Bayern MunichS. Gnabry on · J. Musiala off
- 82′Substitution · St. PauliL. Ritzka on · M. Saliakas off
- 83′Substitution · St. PauliA. Ceesay on · N. Frederiksen off
- 85′Substitution · Bayern MunichT. Müller on · H. Kane off
- 85′Substitution · Bayern MunichJ. Stanišić on · K. Laimer off
- 90+3′Goal · St. PauliL. Ritzka · (assist D. Nemeth)
Match summary
No summary has been written for this match yet.
available
- 5Blocked shots3
- 5Corners4
- 3.53Expected goals (xG)0.92
- 13Fouls4
- 2Offsides2
- 89%Pass accuracy80%
- 699Passes348
- 625Accurate passes279
- 66%Possession34%
- 2Saves5
- 19Shots10
- 5Shots off target3
- 9Shots on target4
- 3Yellow cards0
available
Scroll sideways to see every column.
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Dier | 90 | 7.2 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| J. Urbig | 90 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| J. Kimmich | 90 | 7.5 | – | 0 | 1 | 2 | – |
| K. Min-jae | 90 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| L. Sané | 90 | 8.3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| M. Olise | 90 | 9.0 | – | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| H. Kane | 85 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| K. Laimer | 85 | 7.0 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 3 |
| J. Musiala | 78 | 7.6 | – | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| R. Guerreiro | 58 | 6.6 | – | 0 | 1 | – | 2 |
| J. Palhinha | 45 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| L. Goretzka | 45 | 6.9 | – | 0 | 1 | – | – |
| H. Ito | 31 | 6.9 | – | 0 | – | 1 | – |
| S. Gnabry | 12 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| J. Stanišić | 10 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| T. Müller | 10 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nemeth | 90 | 7.3 | – | 1 | – | 1 | 3 |
| E. Smith | 90 | 7.0 | – | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| J. Irvine | 90 | 7.2 | – | 0 | 1 | – | 5 |
| N. Vasilj | 90 | 7.3 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| N. Weißhaupt | 90 | 7.0 | – | 0 | – | – | 2 |
| P. Treu | 90 | 7.2 | – | 0 | – | – | 2 |
| S. Van der Heyden | 90 | 6.2 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 1 |
| N. Frederiksen | 83 | 6.9 | – | 0 | 1 | – | 1 |
| M. Saliakas | 82 | 7.2 | – | 1 | – | 2 | 2 |
| E. Saad | 72 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | – |
| A. Dźwigała | 60 | 6.5 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| S. Francisco Ramos | 30 | 6.6 | – | 0 | 1 | – | – |
| O. Afolayan | 18 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | 1 | – |
| A. Ceesay | 12 | 6.6 | – | 0 | – | 1 | – |
| L. Ritzka | 8 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | – | – |
not supplied
Not supplied for this match.
available
St. Pauli3-4-1-2
- 22N. Vasilj7.3
- 2M. Saliakas7.2
- 7J. Irvine (c)7.2
- 8E. Smith7.0
- 23P. Treu7.2
- 13N. Weißhaupt7.0
- 26E. Saad7.0
- 9H. Kane8.3
- 10L. Sané8.3
- 42J. Musiala7.6
- 17M. Olise9.0
- 22R. Guerreiro6.6
- 3K. Min-jae6.7
- 15E. Dier7.2
- 27K. Laimer7.0
- 40J. Urbig6.3
Bayern Munich4-2-3-1
Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.
Bayern Munich · Bench
7 S. Gnabry
16 J. Palhinha
18 D. Peretz
21 H. Ito
23 S. Boey
24 G. Vidović
25 T. Müller
41 J. Kusi-Asare
44 J. Stanišić
Coach: Vincent Kompany
St. Pauli · Bench
1 B. Alexander Voll
9 A. Ceesay
11 J. Eggestein
16 C. Boukhalfa
17 O. Afolayan
20 E. Ahlstrand
21 L. Ritzka
24 S. Francisco Ramos
39 R. Wagner
Coach: A. Blessin
Key players
Bayern Munichavailable
- J. Kimmich · Midfielder2,127 min in 25 matches · 1 goal · 6 assists
- K. Min-jae · Defender2,010 min in 23 matches · 2 goals · 0 assists
- H. Kane · Forward1,856 min in 24 matches · 21 goals · 6 assists
From player figures for all 26 matches played.
Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.
Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in Bundesliga 2024/25 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.
Statistical model
Model forecastnot supplied
Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.
No forecast has been computed for this match yet.
Power Index
no Power Index has been computed for this match yet
Founder’s analysis
Founder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Your prediction Locked at kick-off
Sign in to predict this match. Predictions need a verified account and lock at kick-off.
Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.
Community forecast
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
Analysis from approved contributors
Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.
No contributor has published an analysis of this match.
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Match discussion
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Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.