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Premier League· 2024/25 · Matchweek 20

  • HT 0–1
  • Amex Stadium, Brighton
  • Kick-off
  • Referee: not supplied
  • Data last checked ; unchanged since

Key eventsavailable

  1. 90′Yellow card · ArsenalR. Calafiori
  2. 84′Yellow card · ArsenalM. Merino
  3. 82′Yellow card · BrightonY. Minteh
  4. 66′Substitution · BrightonIgor ↔ A. Webster
  5. 64′Substitution · ArsenalJorginho ↔ M. Ødegaard
  6. 64′Yellow card · BrightonJ. Veltman
  7. 62′Substitution · BrightonS. Adingra ↔ K. Mitoma
  8. 61′Penalty · BrightonJ. Pedro
  9. 46′Substitution · ArsenalE. Nwaneri ↔ G. Martinelli
  10. 46′Substitution · BrightonB. Gruda ↔ Y. Minteh
  11. 46′Substitution · BrightonM. O'Riley ↔ G. Rutter
  12. 45+1′Yellow card · ArsenalE. Nwaneri
  13. 16′Goal · ArsenalE. Nwaneri · (assist M. Merino)
  14. 17:30Kick-off

Latest first. Names and minutes are as recorded for the match.

What was forecast, and what happened

Statistical model

Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

One match says little: the model's record

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Match summary

No summary has been written for this match yet.

Competition contextavailable

Premier League 2024/25

League table, before kick-off

Brighton

11th of 20 · 27 pts from 19 played

W 6 · D 9 · L 4 · GD +1

Form in this competition only, latest first: D D D L D

  • 18 pts behind first
  • Level on points with the place above
  • 3 pts clear of the place below

Arsenal

2nd of 20 · 39 pts from 19 played

W 11 · D 6 · L 2 · GD +21

Form in this competition only, latest first: W W W D D

  • 6 pts behind first
  • 6 pts behind the place above
  • 2 pts clear of the place below

Form here counts only matches in this competition; Recent form counts the last five in every competition.

First: Liverpool, 45 pts

From the 195 finished matches of this table played before kick-off. Last result change .

Where the qualification, promotion and relegation places fall is not in our records, so no gap to them is shown.

Related news

News sources last checked · Stories from –

No publisher has reported on this match or its sides in the week around it.

Statisticsavailable

  • 3Blocked shots2
  • 2Corners5
  • 1.52Expected goals (xG)0.88
  • 17Fouls14
  • 0Offsides3
  • 86%Pass accuracy88%
  • 427Passes519
  • 368Accurate passes456
  • 45%Possession55%
  • 2Saves3
  • 11Shots9
  • 4Shots off target4
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 2Yellow cards3

Player statisticsavailable

Scroll sideways to see every column.

Brighton
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
B. Verbruggen906.9–0–––
C. Baleba906.7–01–1
J. Paul van Hecke907.3–0–1–
J. Pedro907.9101–1
J. Veltman907.0–0–11
P. Estupiñán906.9–01–3
Y. Ayari907.2–0112
Igor667.0–0–––
S. Adingra626.2–011–
B. Gruda456.2–01––
G. Rutter456.3–0–––
M. O'Riley456.6–0–1–
Y. Minteh456.7–011–
K. Mitoma286.9–0––1
A. Webster247.2–01–2
Arsenal
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
D. Raya907.2–0–––
D. Rice908.0–014–
G. Jesus906.5–0221
G. Magalhães906.9–0–––
L. Trossard907.3–01–1
M. Merino906.9–1121
R. Calafiori907.2–0––2
T. Partey906.9–01–3
W. Saliba906.9–0––2
Jorginho646.9–0–12
E. Nwaneri457.3101–1
G. Martinelli456.3–0––1
M. Ødegaard266.7–0–––

xG (Highlightly)not supplied

Not supplied for this match.

Recent form

Brightonavailable

  • D2–2 at Aston VillaPremier League
  • D0–0 v BrentfordPremier League
  • D1–1 at West HamPremier League
  • L1–3 v Crystal PalacePremier League
  • D2–2 at LeicesterPremier League

Arsenalavailable

  • W3–1 at BrentfordPremier League
  • W1–0 v IpswichPremier League
  • W5–1 at Crystal PalacePremier League
  • D0–0 v EvertonPremier League
  • W3–0 v MonacoUEFA Champions League

Head-to-headavailable

  • Arsenal 1–1 BrightonPremier League · Emirates Stadium
  • Brighton 0–3 ArsenalPremier League · Amex Stadium
  • Arsenal 2–0 BrightonPremier League · Emirates Stadium
  • Arsenal 0–3 BrightonPremier League · Emirates Stadium
  • Brighton 2–4 ArsenalPremier League · Amex Stadium

Line-upsavailable

Home side at the bottom. Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.

Brighton · Bench

Coach: Fabian Hurzeler

Availabilitynot supplied

Not supplied for this match.

Key players

Brightonavailable

  1. K. Mitoma · Midfielder1,551 min in 19 matches · 3 goals · 2 assists
  2. B. Verbruggen · Goalkeeper1,530 min in 17 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
  3. J. Paul van Hecke · Defender1,431 min in 17 matches · 0 goals · 1 assist

From player figures for all 19 matches played.

Arsenalavailable

  1. D. Raya · Goalkeeper1,710 min in 19 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
  2. W. Saliba · Defender1,560 min in 18 matches · 2 goals · 0 assists
  3. K. Havertz · Midfielder1,482 min in 17 matches · 7 goals · 2 assists

From player figures for all 19 matches played.

Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.

Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in Premier League 2024/25 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.

Match discussion

Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.

Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.

Statistical model

Model forecastnot supplied

Computed by FMIP’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.

No forecast has been computed for this match yet.

How accurate has the model been?

Power Index

no Power Index has been computed for this match yet

Founder’s analysis

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Your prediction Locked at kick-off

Sign in to predict this match. Predictions need a verified account and lock at kick-off.

Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.

Community forecast

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Analysis from approved contributors

Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.

No contributor has published an analysis of this match.

Where to watch

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Coverage for this season

  • scores: available
  • incidents: available
  • lineups: available
  • statistics: available
  • standings: available
  • availability: not supplied
  • advanced statistics: available