← ScoresTimes: UK time
- HT 1–0
- Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
- Kick-off
- Referee: not supplied
- Data last checked ; unchanged since
Key eventsavailable
- 90+1′Goal · LutonJ. Brown · (assist T. Kaminski)
- 82′Substitution · WatfordT. Dele-Bashiru ↔ T. Ince
- 82′Substitution · WatfordR. Andrews ↔ R. Vata
- 67′Substitution · LutonC. Morris ↔ J. Brown
- 66′Substitution · LutonT. Krauß ↔ P. Ruddock Mpanzu
- 65′Substitution · WatfordK. Sema ↔ F. Ebosele
- 61′Yellow card · LutonD. Hashioka
- 58′Substitution · LutonT. Chong ↔ M. Nakamba
- 53′Substitution · WatfordE. Kayembe ↔ K. Baah
- 53′Substitution · LutonR. Burke ↔ J. Johnson
- 52′Substitution · WatfordV. Issouf Bayo ↔ D. Jebbison
- 47′Goal · LutonC. Morris · (assist A. Doughty)
- 46′Substitution · LutonT. Holmes ↔ D. Hashioka
- 37′Yellow card · WatfordR. Porteous
- 35′Yellow card · LutonA. Doughty
- 16′Yellow card · LutonJ. Clark
- 11′Goal · LutonJ. Clark · (assist T. Holmes)
- 6′Yellow card · WatfordV. Issouf Bayo
- 12:30Kick-off
Latest first. Names and minutes are as recorded for the match.
What was forecast, and what happened
Statistical model
Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
One match says little: the model's recordFounder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
Match summary
No summary has been written for this match yet.
Competition contextavailable
Championship 2024/25
League table, before kick-off
21st of 24 · 8 pts from 9 played
W 2 · D 2 · L 5 · GD -7
Form in this competition only, latest first: L D L W W
- 13 pts behind first
- Level on points with the place above
- 1 pt clear of the place below
6th of 24 · 16 pts from 9 played
W 5 · D 1 · L 3 · GD 0
Form in this competition only, latest first: W L W L D
- 5 pts behind first
- 1 pt behind the place above
- 1 pt clear of the place below
Form here counts only matches in this competition; Recent form counts the last five in every competition.
First: Sheffield United, 21 pts
From the 109 finished matches of this table played before kick-off. Last result change .
Where the qualification, promotion and relegation places fall is not in our records, so no gap to them is shown.
Related news
News sources last checked · Stories from –
No publisher has reported on this match or its sides in the week around it.
Statisticsavailable
- 6Blocked shots6
- 11Corners4
- 1.30Expected goals (xG)0.45
- 22Fouls20
- 4Offsides2
- 70%Pass accuracy78%
- 259Passes384
- 181Accurate passes298
- 41%Possession59%
- 1Saves2
- 13Shots9
- 2Shots off target2
- 5Shots on target1
- 3Yellow cards2
Player statisticsavailable
Scroll sideways to see every column.
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Doughty | 90 | 8.2 | – | 1 | – | 4 | 1 |
| E. Adebayo | 90 | 6.3 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| J. Clark | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| M. McGuinness | 90 | 7.5 | – | 0 | – | – | 4 |
| T. Kaminski | 90 | 7.2 | – | 1 | – | 1 | – |
| T. Reis | 90 | 7.0 | – | 0 | – | – | 4 |
| C. Morris | 67 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | – | 1 |
| T. Krauß | 66 | 6.9 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 2 |
| T. Chong | 58 | 6.9 | – | 0 | 1 | – | – |
| R. Burke | 53 | 7.2 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| D. Hashioka | 45 | 6.6 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| T. Holmes | 45 | 7.2 | – | 1 | – | 1 | 1 |
| J. Johnson | 37 | 6.5 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| M. Nakamba | 32 | 6.6 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| P. Ruddock Mpanzu | 24 | 7.5 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 1 |
| J. Brown | 23 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | – | – |
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ogbonna | 90 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | 2 |
| D. Bachmann | 90 | 6.5 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| G. Chakvetadze | 90 | 6.7 | – | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| M. Pollock | 90 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | 4 |
| M. Sissoko | 90 | 6.6 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 4 |
| R. Porteous | 90 | 6.0 | – | 0 | – | – | 4 |
| R. Andrews | 82 | 6.5 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| T. Dele-Bashiru | 82 | 7.3 | – | 0 | 1 | – | 2 |
| K. Sema | 65 | 6.5 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 2 |
| E. Kayembe | 53 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | 2 |
| V. Issouf Bayo | 52 | 6.2 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| D. Jebbison | 38 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | 1 | – |
| K. Baah | 37 | 6.6 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 1 |
| F. Ebosele | 25 | 6.2 | – | 0 | 1 | – | 1 |
| R. Vata | 8 | 6.5 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| T. Ince | 8 | 6.2 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
xG (Highlightly)not supplied
Not supplied for this match.
Recent form
Lutonavailable
- L0–2 at Sheffield UnitedChampionship
- D2–2 v Oxford UnitedChampionship
- L1–3 at PlymouthChampionship
- W2–1 v Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
- W1–0 at MillwallChampionship
Watfordavailable
- W2–1 v MiddlesbroughChampionship
- L0–3 at PrestonChampionship
- W2–1 v SunderlandChampionship
- L1–4 at NorwichChampionship
- D1–1 v CoventryChampionship
Head-to-headlimited
- Luton 2–0 WatfordChampionship · Kenilworth Road
- Watford 4–0 LutonChampionship · Vicarage Road
- Luton 1–0 WatfordChampionship · Kenilworth Road
- Watford 1–0 LutonChampionship · Vicarage Road
Line-upsavailable
Watford3-5-2
T. Chong14
Luton3-4-1-2
Home side at the bottom. Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.
Luton · Bench
10 R. Davies
13 M. Nakamba
17 P. Ruddock Mpanzu
19 J. Brown
23 T. Krul
25 J. Taylor
27 D. Hashioka
37 Z. Nelson
38 J. Johnson
Coach: Bernardo Silva
Watford · Bench
3 F. Sierralta
7 T. Ince
11 R. Vata
18 D. Jebbison
22 J. Morris
23 J. Bond
34 K. Baah
36 F. Ebosele
37 Y. Larouci
Coach: T. Cleverley
Availabilitynot supplied
Not supplied for this match.
Key players
Lutonavailable
- A. Doughty · Midfielder810 min in 9 matches · 0 goals · 2 assists
- E. Adebayo · Forward723 min in 9 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
- T. Mengi · Defender717 min in 9 matches · 1 goal · 0 assists
From player figures for all 9 matches played.
Watfordavailable
- M. Pollock · Defender810 min in 9 matches · 0 goals · 2 assists
- M. Sissoko · Midfielder789 min in 9 matches · 1 goal · 0 assists
- G. Chakvetadze · Forward764 min in 9 matches · 1 goal · 2 assists
From player figures for all 9 matches played.
Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.
Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in Championship 2024/25 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.
Match discussion
Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.
Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.
Statistical model
Model forecastnot supplied
Computed by FMIP’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.
No forecast has been computed for this match yet.
Power Index
no Power Index has been computed for this match yet
Founder’s analysis
Founder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Your prediction Locked at kick-off
Sign in to predict this match. Predictions need a verified account and lock at kick-off.
Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.
Community forecast
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
Analysis from approved contributors
Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.
No contributor has published an analysis of this match.
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Coverage for this season
- scores: available
- incidents: available
- lineups: available
- statistics: available
- standings: available
- availability: not supplied
- advanced statistics: available