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Where to watch- HT 0–1
- Kick-off
- Referee: not supplied
- Data last checked ; unchanged since
Key eventsavailable
- 80′Penalty · HNK GoricaB. Bogojević
- 65′Substitution · HNK GoricaG. Costa ↔ I. Cvijanović
- 37′Goal · RudesN. Skoko
- 24′Yellow card · RudesM. Zebić
- 16:00Kick-off
Latest first. Names and minutes come from the match feed.
What was forecast, and what happened
Statistical model
Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
One match says little: the model's recordFounder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
Match summary
Written by a language model from the match record, not by a person. Not the founder's analysis, not the statistical forecast, not the community's view.
HNK Gorica faced Rudes in a tight HNL clash, with the visitors taking a 2-1 victory. The match saw Rudes go ahead early, with N. Skoko opening the scoring in the 37th minute. Gorica pulled one back late on through a penalty converted by B. Bogojević, but the damage was already done as Rudes held on for the win.
Possession stats told a story of dominance for Gorica, who controlled 64% of the ball, but Rudes’ efficiency in front of goal proved decisive. The away side also recorded more saves (5 to 1) and fewer blocked shots (2 to 6), despite committing more fouls (17 to 9). Gorica’s struggles in front of goal were evident, with only 5 shots on target compared to Rudes’ 3.
Gorica’s recent form entering the game was mixed, having lost two of their last four matches, including a 0-1 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb. Rudes, meanwhile, had won just one of their last five games before this victory, with their last win coming against NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. The tactical battle saw Gorica in a 4-2-3-1 formation, while Rudes opted for a 3-4-3 setup.
Model ministral-14b-latest · version 1 · written · Written from timeline, statistics, line-ups
Competition contextavailable
HNL 2026/27
League table, before kick-off
9th of 10 · 5 pts from 8 played
W 1 · D 2 · L 5 · GD -7
Form in this competition only, latest first: W D L D L
- 11 pts behind first
- 2 pts behind the place above
- 1 pt clear of the place below
10th of 10 · 4 pts from 8 played
W 1 · D 1 · L 6 · GD -14
Form in this competition only, latest first: D L L L W
- 12 pts behind first
- 1 pt behind the place above
Form here counts only matches in this competition; Recent form counts the last five in every competition.
First: Dinamo Zagreb, 16 pts
From the 39 finished matches of this table played before kick-off. Last result change .
Where the qualification, promotion and relegation places fall is not in our records, so no gap to them is shown.
Related news
Feeds last read · Stories from –
No publisher has reported on this match or its sides in the week around it.
Statisticsavailable
- 6Blocked shots2
- 8Corners3
- 1.30Expected goals (xG)1.63
- 9Fouls17
- 1Offsides3
- 533Passes298
- 460Accurate passes216
- 64%Possession36%
- 0Red cards0
- 1Saves5
- 14Shots10
- 3Shots off target5
- 5Shots on target3
- 0Yellow cards2
Player statisticsavailable
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bogojević | 90 | 6.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| D. Stevanović | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| G. Costa | 65 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Pranjic | 65 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| D. Pavičić | 25 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Cvijanović | 25 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe Curcio | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Rogić | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Zebić | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| N. Skoko | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| S. Bralić | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| B. Unušić | 89 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Gabri Garcia | 0 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Pejic | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kristijan Lovrić | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Toni Kolega | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Expected goals per player: not supplied by the provider for any match.
Recent form
HNK Goricaavailable
- W1–0 at Istra 1961HNL
- D2–2 v NK VarazdinHNL
- L0–1 at Dinamo ZagrebHNL
- D0–0 v HNK RijekaHNL
- L0–2 at NK Slaven BelupoHNL
Rudesavailable
- D2–2 v NK Slaven BelupoHNL
- L2–3 at Istra 1961HNL
- L0–4 v HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
- L0–2 at NK VarazdinHNL
- W4–1 v NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL
Head-to-headnot supplied
Not supplied for this match.
Line-upsavailable
HNK Gorica4-2-3-1
Not every starter's role is supplied, so this line-up is a list.
Rudes3-4-3
Not every starter's role is supplied, so this line-up is a list.
Availabilitynot supplied
The data provider does not report absences for this competition, so none are shown.
Key players
HNK Goricaavailable
- B. Bogojević · Midfielder664 min in 8 matches · 3 goals · 0 assists
- D. Pavičić · Midfielder584 min in 8 matches · 0 goals · 1 assist
- I. Cvijanović · Defender584 min in 8 matches · 1 goal · 0 assists
From player figures for all 8 matches played.
Availability: our data provider does not report this competition's absences, so none is claimed.
Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in HNL 2026/27 before this match, counted from the feed's per-match player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.
Match discussion
Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.
Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.
Statistical model
Model forecastnot supplied
Computed by FMIP’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.
No forecast has been computed for this match yet.
Power Index
no Power Index has been computed for this match yet
Founder’s analysis
Founder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Your predictionlocked at kick-off
Sign in to predict this match. Predictions need a verified account and lock at kick-off.
Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.
Community forecast
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
Analysis from approved contributors
Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.
No contributor has published an analysis of this match.
Where to watch
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Coverage for this season
- scores: available
- incidents: available
- lineups: available
- statistics: available
- standings: available
- availability: not supplied
- advanced statistics: available