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CONMEBOL Sudamericana· 2025 · Knockout Round Play-offs

Independiente del Valle v Vasco da Gama

Independiente del ValleM. Carabajal 45′ · P. Mercado 49′, 82′ · C. Spinelli 51′
4–0FT · HT 1–0
  • Kick-off
  • Referee: Kevin Ortega
  • Last data update

ModelWhat was forecast, what happened

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

What was forecast, and what happened

Statistical model

Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

One match says little: the model's record

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Key eventsavailable

  1. 01:30Kick-off
  2. 11′VAR · Vasco da Gama · Card upgraded to redL. Piton
  3. 12′Red card · Vasco da GamaL. Piton
  4. 15′Substitution · Vasco da GamaV. Luís on · G. Souza off
  5. 37′Yellow card · Vasco da GamaH. Moura
  6. 44′Yellow card · Independiente del ValleJ. Alcívar
  7. 45′Goal · Independiente del ValleM. Carabajal
  8. 46′Substitution · Vasco da GamaM. Lemos on · N. Moreira off
  9. 49′Goal · Independiente del ValleP. Mercado
  10. 51′Goal · Independiente del ValleC. Spinelli · (assist R. Briones)
  11. 61′Yellow card · Independiente del ValleR. Briones
  12. 63′Substitution · Independiente del ValleA. Rodríguez on · R. Briones off
  13. 69′Substitution · Independiente del ValleL. Loor on · G. Cortéz off
  14. 69′Substitution · Independiente del ValleJ. Méndez on · J. Alcívar off
  15. 69′Substitution · Independiente del ValleJ. Cazares on · D. Guagua off
  16. 71′Yellow card · Vasco da GamaL. Jardim
  17. 71′Substitution · Vasco da GamaDavid on · Rayan off
  18. 82′Goal · Independiente del ValleP. Mercado
  19. 86′VAR · Independiente del Valle · Goal disallowedC. Spinelli
  20. 87′Substitution · Independiente del ValleE. Pata on · R. Ibarra off
  21. 87′Substitution · Vasco da GamaPaulinho on · T. Tchê off
  22. 87′Substitution · Vasco da GamaB. Garré on · P. Vegetti off

Match summary

No summary has been written for this match yet.

Statisticsavailable

  • 10Blocked shots1
  • 8Corners1
  • 5.65Expected goals (xG)0.64
  • 10Fouls6
  • 1Offsides1
  • 91%Pass accuracy59%
  • 486Passes141
  • 444Accurate passes83
  • 78%Possession22%
  • 0Red cards1
  • 3Saves9
  • 33Shots5
  • 10Shots off target1
  • 13Shots on target3
  • 2Yellow cards2

Player statisticsavailable

Scroll sideways to see every column.

Independiente del Valle
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
C. Spinelli907.21044–
G. Villar907.5–0–––
M. Carabajal907.91021–
M. Fernández907.3–014–
P. Mercado909.920431
R. Schunke907.2–0–––
R. Ibarra877.6–022–
D. Guagua697.2–04––
G. Cortéz697.2–0–41
J. Alcívar697.5–032–
R. Briones637.2–112–
A. Rodríguez276.6–0–11
J. Méndez216.9–01––
J. Cazares216.5–011–
L. Loor216.7–0–––
E. Pata3––0–––
Vasco da Gama
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
H. Moura906.2–0–––
J. Victor906.0–0––2
L. Jardim908.7–0–––
L. Freitas906.3–0–––
P. Henrique906.2–0113
P. Vegetti877.0–0–––
T. Tchê876.2–0–––
V. Luís756.0–0––2
Rayan717.2–03–1
M. Lemos455.9–0–––
N. Moreira456.6–0–11
David196.7–0––1
G. Souza156.7–0–––
L. Piton123.0–0–––
B. Garré3––0–––
Paulinho3––0–––

xG (Highlightly)not supplied

Not supplied for this match.

Line-upsavailable

Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.

Independiente del Valle · Bench

Coach: Javier Rabanal Hernández

Key players

Independiente del Valleavailable

No match of this competition played before this one, so no minutes to count yet.

Vasco da Gamaavailable

  1. L. Piton · Defender540 min in 6 matches · 0 goals · 2 assists
  2. J. Victor · Defender540 min in 6 matches · 1 goal · 0 assists
  3. L. Jardim · Goalkeeper540 min in 6 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists

From player figures for all 6 matches played.

Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.

Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2025 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.

Statistical model

Model forecastnot supplied

Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.

No forecast has been computed for this match yet.

How accurate has the model been?

Power Index

no Power Index has been computed for this match yet

Founder’s analysis

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Your prediction Locked at kick-off

Sign in to predict this match. Predictions need a verified account and lock at kick-off.

Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.

Community forecast

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Analysis from approved contributors

Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.

No contributor has published an analysis of this match.

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Match discussion

Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.

Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.