ModelWhat was forecast, what happened
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
← ScoresTimes: UK time
Bundesliga· 2024/25 · Matchweek 6
Bayer Leverkusen v Holstein Kiel
Bayer LeverkusenV. Boniface 4′ · J. Hofmann 8′
2–2FT · HT 2–1
Holstein KielM. Geschwill 45+5′ · J. Arp 69′- Kick-off
- BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen
- Referee: R. Hartmann
- Last data update
What was forecast, and what happened
Statistical model
Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
One match says little: the model's recordFounder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
available
HT
- 14:30Kick-off
- 4′Goal · Bayer LeverkusenV. Boniface · (assist E. Palacios)
- 8′Goal · Bayer LeverkusenJ. Hofmann · (assist E. Palacios)
- 27′VAR · Bayer Leverkusen · Goal disallowedV. Boniface
- 45+5′Goal · Holstein KielM. Geschwill · (assist L. Holtby)
- 46′Substitution · Holstein KielB. Pichler on · S. Skrzybski off
- 46′Substitution · Holstein KielJ. Arp on · S. Machino off
- 60′Yellow card · Holstein KielM. Knudsen
- 60′Substitution · Bayer LeverkusenM. Terrier on · J. Hofmann off
- 68′Yellow card · Bayer LeverkusenJ. Frimpong
- 69′Penalty · Holstein KielJ. Arp
- 70′Substitution · Bayer LeverkusenP. Schick on · V. Boniface off
- 70′Substitution · Bayer LeverkusenP. Hincapié on · R. Andrich off
- 70′Substitution · Bayer LeverkusenA. García on · E. Palacios off
- 71′Substitution · Holstein KielM. Schulz on · A. Gigović off
- 77′Substitution · Bayer LeverkusenA. Adli on · J. Frimpong off
- 86′Substitution · Holstein KielN. Remberg on · L. Holtby off
- 86′Substitution · Holstein KielM. Komenda on · F. Porath off
- 90+6′Yellow card · Bayer LeverkusenJ. Tah
- 90+1′Yellow card · Holstein KielT. Weiner
Match summary
No summary has been written for this match yet.
available
- 10Blocked shots2
- 12Corners3
- 2.08Expected goals (xG)1.65
- 5Fouls9
- 3Offsides1
- 92%Pass accuracy73%
- 796Passes283
- 732Accurate passes208
- 74%Possession26%
- 3Saves5
- 23Shots8
- 6Shots off target2
- 7Shots on target4
- 2Yellow cards2
available
Scroll sideways to see every column.
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Grimaldo | 90 | 8.2 | – | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| E. Tapsoba | 90 | 7.5 | – | 0 | – | 2 | – |
| F. Wirtz | 90 | 7.9 | – | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| G. Xhaka | 90 | 7.6 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 1 |
| J. Tah | 90 | 6.9 | – | 0 | 1 | – | 1 |
| L. Hrádecký | 90 | 6.6 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| J. Frimpong | 77 | 6.2 | – | 0 | – | 2 | 1 |
| E. Palacios | 70 | 8.3 | – | 2 | – | 6 | – |
| R. Andrich | 70 | 7.3 | – | 0 | 1 | – | 3 |
| V. Boniface | 70 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | – |
| J. Hofmann | 60 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | – |
| M. Terrier | 30 | 6.6 | – | 0 | 1 | – | – |
| A. García | 20 | 7.3 | – | 0 | – | 2 | – |
| P. Schick | 20 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| P. Hincapié | 20 | 6.9 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| A. Adli | 13 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Knudsen | 90 | 7.2 | – | 0 | – | 2 | 3 |
| M. Ivezić | 90 | 7.5 | – | 0 | – | – | 3 |
| M. Geschwill | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | – | – |
| P. Erras | 90 | 6.9 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| T. Becker | 90 | 6.6 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 2 |
| T. Weiner | 90 | 7.0 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| F. Porath | 86 | 7.2 | – | 0 | – | – | 9 |
| L. Holtby | 86 | 7.3 | – | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| A. Gigović | 71 | 7.2 | – | 0 | – | – | 3 |
| B. Pichler | 45 | 6.3 | – | 0 | 1 | – | – |
| J. Arp | 45 | 6.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| S. Machino | 45 | 6.3 | – | 0 | 1 | – | – |
| S. Skrzybski | 45 | 6.6 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 2 |
| M. Schulz | 19 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| M. Komenda | 12 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| N. Remberg | 12 | 6.5 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
not supplied
Not supplied for this match.
available
Holstein Kiel3-5-2
Bayer Leverkusen3-4-2-1
Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.
Bayer Leverkusen · Bench
3P. Hincapié
11M. Terrier
14P. Schick
17M. Kovář
19N. Tella
21A. Adli
23N. Mukiele
24A. García
44J. Belocian
Coach: Xabi Alonso
Holstein Kiel · Bench
3M. Komenda
9B. Pichler
11A. Bernhardsson
15M. Schulz
20J. Arp
21T. Dähne
22N. Remberg
23L. Rosenboom
27T. Puchacz
Coach: M. Rapp
Key players
Bayer Leverkusenavailable
- G. Xhaka · Midfielder450 min in 5 matches · 1 goal · 3 assists
- J. Tah · Defender450 min in 5 matches · 1 goal · 0 assists
- F. Wirtz · Forward449 min in 5 matches · 4 goals · 1 assist
From player figures for all 5 matches played.
Holstein Kielavailable
- T. Becker · Defender450 min in 5 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
- T. Weiner · Goalkeeper450 min in 5 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
- M. Knudsen · Midfielder424 min in 5 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
From player figures for all 5 matches played.
Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.
Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in Bundesliga 2024/25 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.
Statistical model
Model forecastnot supplied
Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.
No forecast has been computed for this match yet.
Power Index
no Power Index has been computed for this match yet
Founder’s analysis
Founder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Your prediction Locked at kick-off
Sign in to predict this match. Predictions need a verified account and lock at kick-off.
Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.
Community forecast
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
Analysis from approved contributors
Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.
No contributor has published an analysis of this match.
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Match discussion
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Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.