ModelWhat was forecast, what happened
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
← ScoresTimes: UK time
Bundesliga· 2024/25 · Matchweek 17
Holstein Kiel v Borussia Dortmund
Holstein KielS. Machino 27′ · P. Harres 32′ · A. Bernhardsson 45+4′ · J. Arp 90+9′
4–2FT · HT 3–0
Borussia DortmundG. Reyna 72′ · J. Gittens 78′- Kick-off
- Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
- Referee: M. Petersen
- Last data update
What was forecast, and what happened
Statistical model
Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
One match says little: the model's recordFounder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
available
HT
- 17:30Kick-off
- 27′Goal · Holstein KielS. Machino · (assist A. Bernhardsson)
- 32′Goal · Holstein KielP. Harres · (assist L. Rosenboom)
- 42′Yellow card · Borussia DortmundJ. Duranville
- 45+4′Goal · Holstein KielA. Bernhardsson · (assist P. Harres)
- 46′Substitution · Borussia DortmundW. Anton on · J. Ryerson off
- 46′Substitution · Borussia DortmundM. Beier on · R. Bensebaini off
- 59′Substitution · Borussia DortmundG. Reyna on · M. Sabitzer off
- 59′Substitution · Borussia DortmundY. Couto on · J. Duranville off
- 69′Substitution · Holstein KielA. Gigović on · A. Bernhardsson off
- 72′Goal · Borussia DortmundG. Reyna · (assist W. Anton)
- 76′Substitution · Holstein KielL. Holtby on · S. Machino off
- 76′Substitution · Holstein KielJ. Arp on · P. Harres off
- 76′Substitution · Holstein KielM. Geschwill on · M. Komenda off
- 78′Goal · Borussia DortmundJ. Gittens
- 82′Yellow card · Holstein KielF. Porath
- 85′Substitution · Holstein KielD. Javorček on · F. Porath off
- 86′Red card · Holstein KielL. Holtby
- 86′Yellow card · Borussia DortmundW. Anton
- 90+9′Yellow card · Holstein KielJ. Arp
- 90+9′Goal · Holstein KielJ. Arp
Match summary
No summary has been written for this match yet.
available
- 0Blocked shots7
- 1Corners9
- 1.56Expected goals (xG)1.06
- 13Fouls11
- 0Offsides2
- 63%Pass accuracy91%
- 211Passes612
- 133Accurate passes554
- 25%Possession75%
- 1Red cards0
- 2Saves3
- 11Shots16
- 4Shots off target5
- 7Shots on target4
- 2Yellow cards2
available
Scroll sideways to see every column.
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Zec | 90 | 6.6 | – | 0 | 2 | – | – |
| L. Rosenboom | 90 | 6.9 | – | 1 | – | 2 | 3 |
| M. Knudsen | 90 | 6.5 | – | 0 | – | – | 2 |
| N. Remberg | 90 | 6.9 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 7 |
| T. Becker | 90 | 6.9 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| T. Weiner | 90 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| F. Porath | 85 | 7.3 | – | 0 | 4 | – | 3 |
| M. Komenda | 76 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | 3 |
| P. Harres | 76 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| S. Machino | 76 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| A. Bernhardsson | 69 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| A. Gigović | 21 | 6.5 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| D. Javorček | 14 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| J. Arp | 14 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | – | 2 |
| M. Geschwill | 14 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| L. Holtby | 10 | 6.0 | – | 0 | – | 1 | – |
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Can | 90 | 6.9 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 1 |
| F. Nmecha | 90 | 6.6 | – | 0 | – | – | 3 |
| G. Kobel | 90 | 6.5 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| J. Gittens | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | – |
| J. Brandt | 90 | 5.9 | – | 0 | – | 4 | – |
| N. Schlotterbeck | 90 | 6.3 | – | 0 | 1 | – | 1 |
| S. Guirassy | 90 | 7.0 | – | 0 | 3 | – | – |
| J. Duranville | 59 | 6.0 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| M. Sabitzer | 59 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| J. Ryerson | 45 | 6.2 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| M. Beier | 45 | 6.5 | – | 0 | – | 1 | – |
| R. Bensebaini | 45 | 6.5 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| W. Anton | 45 | 6.9 | – | 1 | – | 1 | – |
| G. Reyna | 31 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | – |
| Y. Couto | 31 | 6.9 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 1 |
not supplied
Not supplied for this match.
available
Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.
Holstein Kiel · Bench
6M. Ivezić
9B. Pichler
10L. Holtby
14M. Geschwill
16A. Yobel Kelati
20J. Arp
21T. Dähne
33D. Javorček
37A. Gigović
Coach: M. Rapp
Key players
Holstein Kielavailable
- T. Weiner · Goalkeeper1,440 min in 16 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
- F. Porath · Midfielder1,142 min in 16 matches · 0 goals · 2 assists
- T. Becker · Defender1,125 min in 13 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
From player figures for all 16 matches played.
Borussia Dortmundavailable
- G. Kobel · Goalkeeper1,260 min in 14 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
- N. Schlotterbeck · Defender1,243 min in 14 matches · 0 goals · 2 assists
- S. Guirassy · Forward1,152 min in 13 matches · 7 goals · 1 assist
From player figures for all 16 matches played.
Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.
Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in Bundesliga 2024/25 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.
Statistical model
Model forecastnot supplied
Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.
No forecast has been computed for this match yet.
Power Index
no Power Index has been computed for this match yet
Founder’s analysis
Founder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Your prediction Locked at kick-off
Sign in to predict this match. Predictions need a verified account and lock at kick-off.
Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.
Community forecast
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
Analysis from approved contributors
Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.
No contributor has published an analysis of this match.
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Match discussion
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