Big one tonight
Newcastle
EvertonModelNewcastle 44%, the draw 28%, Everton 28%.
Closest call
Pakhtakor
Al-NassrModel28% · 30% · 42%: the most even match still to start.
UpsetFT
Elche0
Valencia1ModelValencia won; the model gave them 25%.
UpsetFT
Groningen2
Sparta Rotterdam3ModelSparta Rotterdam won; the model gave them 20%.← ScoresTimes: UK time
FA Cup· 2026/27
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Where to watchdixon-coles-elo@0.6.0 · v1 computed 31 Oct, 15:04 UK time, 6 days before kick-off · Early pre-match · fitted 30 Oct on 19,998 matches since Oct 2023 · no Elo prior · inputs limited
Recorded once the match kicks off; nothing is shown before then.
Recorded once the match kicks off; nothing is shown before then.
Not supplied for this match.
Not supplied for this match.
Not announced yet: clubs usually name the official line-up about an hour before kick-off, and it is shown here as soon as it reaches us.
No per-match player figures for this side this season.
No per-match player figures for this side this season.
Availability: absences are not recorded for this competition, so none is claimed.
Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in FA Cup 2026/27 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.
Statistical model
Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.
dixon-coles-elo@0.6.0v1computed
The model gives Guiseley AFC the most probability, 37.3 points ahead of the next outcome. Every outcome remains possible; these are probabilities, not a prediction of the result.
Version 1 · Early pre-match · computed · model dixon-coles-elo@0.6.0 · data limited
no Power Index has been computed for this match yet
Founder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
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Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.
No contributor has published an analysis of this match.
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Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.
Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.
