ModelWhat was forecast, what happened
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
← ScoresTimes: UK time
Serie A· 2024/25 · Matchweek 4
Atalanta v Fiorentina
AtalantaM. Retegui 21′ · C. De Ketelaere 45′ · A. Lookman 45+1′
3–2FT · HT 3–2
FiorentinaL. Martínez Quarta 15′ · M. Kean 32′- Kick-off
- Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
- Referee: J. Sacchi
- Last data update
What was forecast, and what happened
Statistical model
Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
One match says little: the model's recordFounder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
available
HT
- 14:00Kick-off
- 15′Goal · FiorentinaL. Martínez Quarta
- 17′Yellow card · FiorentinaE. Bove
- 21′Goal · AtalantaM. Retegui · (assist A. Lookman)
- 27′Yellow card · AtalantaI. Hien
- 32′Goal · FiorentinaM. Kean · (assist R. Gosens)
- 44′Yellow card · FiorentinaR. Mandragora
- 45′Goal · AtalantaC. De Ketelaere · (assist Ederson)
- 45+1′Goal · AtalantaA. Lookman · (assist C. De Ketelaere)
- 46′Substitution · AtalantaM. Brescianini on · I. Hien off
- 62′Substitution · FiorentinaJ. Ikoné on · A. Colpani off
- 62′Substitution · FiorentinaA. Richardson on · R. Mandragora off
- 68′Yellow card · FiorentinaA. Richardson
- 70′Substitution · AtalantaM. Pasalic on · M. Retegui off
- 70′Substitution · AtalantaD. Zappacosta on · M. Ruggeri off
- 74′Substitution · FiorentinaY. Adli on · D. Cataldi off
- 74′Substitution · FiorentinaR. Sottil on · E. Bove off
- 81′Substitution · FiorentinaM. Pongračić on · L. Ranieri off
- 82′Yellow card · AtalantaD. Zappacosta
Match summary
No summary has been written for this match yet.
limited
- 1Blocked shots3
- 5Corners2
- 1.65Expected goals (xG)1.95
- 16Fouls15
- 2Offsides4
- 81%Pass accuracy78%
- 418Passes397
- 337Accurate passes308
- 51%Possession49%
- 4Saves4
- 13Shots13
- 5Shots off target5
- 7Shots on target5
- 2Yellow cards3
limited
Scroll sideways to see every column.
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Lookman | 90 | 9.2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| B. Djimsiti | 90 | 6.9 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| C. De Ketelaere | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | – |
| Ederson | 90 | 7.3 | – | 1 | – | 1 | – |
| M. Carnesecchi | 90 | 7.0 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| M. de Roon | 90 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| R. Bellanova | 90 | 6.9 | – | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| S. Kolašinac | 90 | 6.2 | – | 0 | 1 | – | 1 |
| M. Retegui | 70 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| M. Ruggeri | 70 | 6.5 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| I. Hien | 45 | 5.9 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| M. Brescianini | 45 | 6.9 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| D. Zappacosta | 20 | 6.3 | – | 0 | 2 | – | 1 |
| M. Pasalic | 20 | 6.6 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 1 |
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Biraghi | 90 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 1 |
| D. de Gea | 90 | 6.9 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| Dodo | 90 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | 2 |
| L. Martínez Quarta | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | – | 3 |
| M. Kean | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | – |
| R. Gosens | 90 | 6.7 | – | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| L. Ranieri | 81 | 6.5 | – | 0 | – | 1 | – |
| D. Cataldi | 74 | 6.7 | – | 0 | 1 | – | 3 |
| E. Bove | 74 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| A. Colpani | 62 | 7.0 | – | 0 | 1 | – | 1 |
| R. Mandragora | 62 | 6.9 | – | 0 | 1 | 4 | – |
| A. Richardson | 28 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | 4 |
| J. Ikoné | 28 | 6.2 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| R. Sottil | 16 | 6.7 | – | 0 | 1 | – | – |
| Y. Adli | 16 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| M. Pongračić | 9 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
not supplied
Not supplied for this match.
available
Atalanta3-4-2-1
Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.
Atalanta · Bench
3O. Kossounou
6I. Sulemana
7J. Cuadrado
8M. Pasalic
10N. Zaniolo
24L. Samardžić
27M. Palestra
28R. Patrício
31F. Rossi
40P. Comi
44M. Brescianini
77D. Zappacosta
Coach: G. Gasperini
Fiorentina · Bench
1P. Terracciano
5M. Pongračić
7R. Sottil
9L. Beltrán
11J. Ikoné
15P. Comuzzo
22M. Moreno
24A. Richardson
29Y. Adli
30T. Martinelli
33M. Kayode
65F. Parisi
Coach: R. Palladino
Key players
Atalantaavailable
- M. Ruggeri · Defender270 min in 3 matches · 0 goals · 1 assist
- B. Djimsiti · Defender270 min in 3 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
- M. de Roon · Defender270 min in 3 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
From player figures for all 3 matches played.
Fiorentinaavailable
- C. Biraghi · Defender270 min in 3 matches · 1 goal · 0 assists
- Dodo · Midfielder270 min in 3 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
- P. Terracciano · Goalkeeper270 min in 3 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
From player figures for all 3 matches played.
Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.
Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in Serie A 2024/25 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.
Statistical model
Model forecastnot supplied
Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.
No forecast has been computed for this match yet.
Power Index
no Power Index has been computed for this match yet
Founder’s analysis
Founder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Your prediction Locked at kick-off
Sign in to predict this match. Predictions need a verified account and lock at kick-off.
Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.
Community forecast
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
Analysis from approved contributors
Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.
No contributor has published an analysis of this match.
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Match discussion
Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.
Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.