Plymouth Parkway
Berkhamsted
Sunderland1
Chelsea0
Lens1
Marseille2
ModelModel forecast
dixon-coles-elo@0.6.0 · v1dixon-coles-elo@0.6.0 · v1 computed 02 Nov, 19:32 UK time
FA Cup· 2026/27
Plymouth Parkway v Berkhamsted
Data checked Details
- Data last checked ; unchanged since
- Kick-off UK time
- Referee: not supplied
- Where to watch
- Kick-off
- Referee: not supplied
- Data last checked ; unchanged since
Your pick
Locks UK time
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Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.
ModelForecast details
Goals: expected and scored
- Model, before kick-off
- 1.84 – 1.64
Likeliest scores before kick-off
- 1–1 9.6%
- 2–1 8.6%
- 1–2 7.6%
- 2–2 7.0%
- 1–0 5.3%
Every version, never edited
- v1Early pre-match ·
dixon-coles-elo@0.6.0 · v1 computed 02 Nov, 19:32 UK time, 6 days before kick-off · Early pre-match · fitted 1 Nov on 20,054 matches since Oct 2023 · no Elo prior · inputs limited
Why these numbers: leading factors and what changed between versions
Other predictions of this match
Founder’s analysis
None yet
Founder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Under 5
Community picks
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Approved contributors
None yet
Approved contributors
No contributor has published an analysis of this match.
Three separate products, never blended.
Recorded once the match kicks off; nothing is shown before then.
Coming, with limited coverage
- Statistics · Coming, with limited coverage
Limited: our source supplies only part of this in this competition, so some of it can be missing for this match.
Not supplied in this competition
- Player statistics · Not supplied in this competition
- xG (Highlightly) · Not supplied in this competition
We do not receive these for this competition, so they will not appear after kick-off either.
Recorded once the match kicks off; nothing is shown before then.
Coming, with limited coverage
- Line-ups · Coming, with limited coverage
Limited: our source supplies only part of this in this competition, so some of it can be missing for this match.
Not announced yet: clubs usually name the official line-up about an hour before kick-off, and it is shown here as soon as it reaches us.
Recorded once the match kicks off; nothing is shown before then.
Coming, with limited coverage
- Live timeline · Coming, with limited coverage
- Statistics · Coming, with limited coverage
- Line-ups · Coming, with limited coverage
Limited: our source supplies only part of this in this competition, so some of it can be missing for this match.
Not supplied in this competition
- Player statistics · Not supplied in this competition
- xG (Highlightly) · Not supplied in this competition
We do not receive these for this competition, so they will not appear after kick-off either.
Not announced yet: clubs usually name the official line-up about an hour before kick-off, and it is shown here as soon as it reaches us.
Key players
Plymouth Parkwaynot supplied
No per-match player figures for this side this season.
Berkhamstednot supplied
No per-match player figures for this side this season.
Availability: absences are not recorded for this competition, so none is claimed.
Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in FA Cup 2026/27 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.
Statistical model
How the forecast was reachedlimited
The forecast and every version are in the summary; this section only says why.
Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.
The model gives Plymouth Parkway the most probability, 8.3 points ahead of the next outcome. Every outcome remains possible; these are probabilities, not a prediction of the result.
Leading factors
- Home advantage · favours Plymouth Parkway · league-wide home advantage learned from the training window
- Team strength · favours Berkhamsted · net strength (attack minus defence) from recent results
- Attack against defence · favours Berkhamsted · how the sides' attacks match up against the opposing defences
- No Elo prior this time: the long-term ratings were not available when this version was computed, so team strength rests on results alone.
Power Index
no Power Index has been computed for this match yet
Where to watch
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Match discussion
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Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.