ModelWhat was forecast, what happened
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
← ScoresTimes: UK time
Bundesliga· 2024/25 · Matchweek 17
Bayer Leverkusen v Mainz
- Kick-off
- BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen
- Referee: T. Welz
- Last data update
What was forecast, and what happened
Statistical model
Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
One match says little: the model's recordFounder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
available
HT
- 19:30Kick-off
- 3′Substitution · MainzA. Sieb on · J. Burkardt off
- 17′Yellow card · MainzA. Sieb
- 48′Goal · Bayer LeverkusenA. Grimaldo
- 51′Yellow card · MainzS. Bell
- 63′Substitution · Bayer LeverkusenN. Tella on · P. Schick off
- 66′Substitution · MainzN. Weiper on · A. Sieb off
- 66′Substitution · MainzH. Hyun-Seok on · L. Jae-Sung off
- 68′Yellow card · MainzA. Caci
- 69′Yellow card · Bayer LeverkusenN. Mukiele
- 80′Substitution · MainzM. Leitsch on · S. Bell off
- 80′Substitution · MainzS. Widmer on · P. Mwene off
- 87′Yellow card · Bayer LeverkusenG. Xhaka
- 88′Substitution · Bayer LeverkusenM. Terrier on · F. Wirtz off
Match summary
No summary has been written for this match yet.
available
- 10Blocked shots1
- 8Corners4
- 1.76Expected goals (xG)0.72
- 4Fouls14
- 0Offsides2
- 89%Pass accuracy77%
- 741Passes362
- 660Accurate passes279
- 67%Possession33%
- 4Saves7
- 20Shots7
- 1Shots off target2
- 9Shots on target4
- 2Yellow cards3
available
Scroll sideways to see every column.
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. García | 90 | 7.3 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| A. Grimaldo | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| E. Tapsoba | 90 | 7.6 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| E. Palacios | 90 | 7.9 | – | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| G. Xhaka | 90 | 7.6 | – | 0 | – | 3 | 2 |
| J. Frimpong | 90 | 8.0 | – | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| M. Kovář | 90 | 7.9 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| N. Mukiele | 90 | 7.2 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 2 |
| P. Hincapié | 90 | 7.7 | – | 0 | 1 | – | 1 |
| F. Wirtz | 88 | 7.7 | – | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| P. Schick | 63 | 6.5 | – | 0 | 1 | – | – |
| N. Tella | 27 | 6.5 | – | 0 | 1 | – | – |
| M. Terrier | 2 | – | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hanche-Olsen | 90 | 7.3 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| A. Caci | 90 | 6.5 | – | 0 | 1 | – | 3 |
| D. da Costa | 90 | 6.5 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| D. Kohr | 90 | 6.9 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 3 |
| K. Sano | 90 | 7.3 | – | 0 | 1 | – | 1 |
| P. Nebel | 90 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| R. Zentner | 90 | 8.2 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| P. Mwene | 81 | 6.0 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| S. Bell | 80 | 7.9 | – | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| L. Jae-Sung | 66 | 7.0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| A. Sieb | 63 | 6.5 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 1 |
| H. Hyun-Seok | 24 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| N. Weiper | 24 | 6.9 | – | 0 | 2 | – | – |
| M. Leitsch | 10 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| S. Widmer | 9 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| J. Burkardt | 3 | – | – | 0 | – | – | – |
not supplied
Not supplied for this match.
available
- 14P. Schick6.5
- 10F. Wirtz7.7
- 25E. Palacios7.9
- 3P. Hincapié7.7
- 12E. Tapsoba7.6
- 23N. Mukiele7.2
- 17M. Kovář7.9
Bayer Leverkusen3-4-2-1
Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.
Bayer Leverkusen · Bench
1 L. Hrádecký
7 J. Hofmann
8 R. Andrich
11 M. Terrier
13 Arthur
19 N. Tella
29 A. Stepanov
36 N. Lomb
40 F. Onyeka
Coach: Xabi Alonso
Mainz · Bench
1 L. Riess
4 A. Barkok
5 M. Leitsch
11 A. Sieb
14 H. Hyun-Seok
30 S. Widmer
33 D. Batz
42 D. Gleiber
44 N. Weiper
Coach: B. Henriksen
Key players
Bayer Leverkusenavailable
- G. Xhaka · Midfielder1,440 min in 16 matches · 2 goals · 5 assists
- J. Tah · Defender1,440 min in 16 matches · 2 goals · 0 assists
- E. Tapsoba · Defender1,436 min in 16 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
From player figures for all 16 matches played.
Mainzavailable
- R. Zentner · Goalkeeper1,440 min in 16 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
- P. Mwene · Midfielder1,427 min in 16 matches · 0 goals · 4 assists
- K. Sano · Midfielder1,425 min in 16 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
From player figures for all 16 matches played.
Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.
Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in Bundesliga 2024/25 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.
Statistical model
Model forecastnot supplied
Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.
No forecast has been computed for this match yet.
Power Index
no Power Index has been computed for this match yet
Founder’s analysis
Founder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Your prediction Locked at kick-off
Sign in to predict this match. Predictions need a verified account and lock at kick-off.
Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.
Community forecast
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
Analysis from approved contributors
Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.
No contributor has published an analysis of this match.
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Match discussion
Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.
Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.