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ModelWhat was forecast, what happened
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
← ScoresTimes: UK time
Eredivisie· 2023/24 · Matchweek 25
AZ Alkmaar v Excelsior
- Kick-off
- AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
- Referee: M. van den Kerkhof
- Data last checked ; unchanged since
Your pick
Locked at kick-off
Picks lock at kick-off.
Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.
What was forecast, and what happened
Statistical model
Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
One match says little: the model's recordFounder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
available
HT
- 11:15Kick-off
- 13′Goal · AZ AlkmaarD. De Wit · (assist R. Bazoer)
- 15′Goal · AZ AlkmaarV. Pavlidis · (assist Y. Sugawara)
- 25′Goal · AZ AlkmaarS. Mijnans
- 45+1′VAR · AZ Alkmaar · Goal disallowedS. Mijnans
- 59′Substitution · AZ AlkmaarM. De Wit on · D. Møller Wolfe off
- 59′Substitution · AZ AlkmaarM. Van Brederode on · R. van Bommel off
- 67′Substitution · ExcelsiorN. Naujoks on · R. Omorowa off
- 67′Substitution · ExcelsiorO. Uddenäs on · D. Sanches Fernandes off
- 72′Goal · AZ AlkmaarS. Mijnans
- 74′Substitution · AZ AlkmaarI. Sadiq on · K. Belić off
- 74′Substitution · AZ AlkmaarK. Smit on · D. De Wit off
- 75′Substitution · ExcelsiorS. de Moes on · M. Benita off
- 75′Substitution · ExcelsiorM. van Duinen on · L. Duijvestijn off
- 83′Yellow card · ExcelsiorS. de Moes
- 83′Substitution · AZ AlkmaarA. Penetra on · Y. Sugawara off
Match summary
No summary has been written for this match yet.
available
- 2Blocked shots1
- 3Corners0
- 1.96Expected goals (xG)0.15
- 9Fouls5
- 5Offsides0
- 84%Pass accuracy80%
- 573Passes418
- 483Accurate passes333
- 58%Possession42%
- 0Saves6
- 16Shots4
- 4Shots off target3
- 10Shots on target0
- 0Yellow cards1
available
Scroll sideways to see every column.
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ryan | 90 | 6.6 | – | – | – | – | – |
| R. Bazoer | 90 | 7.3 | – | 1 | – | 1 | 1 |
| S. Mijnans | 90 | 8.9 | 2 | – | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| T. Dantas | 90 | 7.2 | – | – | 3 | – | 2 |
| V. Pavlidis | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | – | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| W. Goes | 90 | 7.3 | – | – | – | 2 | 2 |
| Y. Sugawara | 83 | 7.9 | – | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| D. De Wit | 74 | 7.3 | 1 | – | 1 | – | 1 |
| K. Belić | 74 | 6.9 | – | – | – | 1 | 4 |
| D. Møller Wolfe | 60 | 6.3 | – | – | – | – | – |
| R. van Bommel | 59 | 6.6 | – | – | 1 | – | – |
| M. Van Brederode | 31 | 7.0 | – | – | 1 | – | 1 |
| M. De Wit | 30 | 6.9 | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| I. Sadiq | 16 | 6.3 | – | – | – | – | – |
| K. Smit | 16 | 6.9 | – | – | – | – | 3 |
| A. Penetra | 11 | 6.7 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Widell | 90 | 6.9 | – | – | – | – | 2 |
| C. Sandra | 90 | 6.2 | – | – | – | – | 2 |
| J. Baas | 90 | 6.9 | – | – | – | 1 | 2 |
| K. Goudmijn | 90 | 6.2 | – | – | 1 | – | 3 |
| S. Horemans | 90 | 6.0 | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| S. van Gassel | 90 | 7.2 | – | – | – | – | – |
| S. Nieuwpoort | 90 | 6.0 | – | – | – | – | – |
| L. Duijvestijn | 75 | 6.2 | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| M. Benita | 75 | 6.2 | – | – | – | – | 1 |
| D. Sanches Fernandes | 67 | 6.7 | – | – | – | – | 1 |
| R. Omorowa | 67 | 6.7 | – | – | 1 | – | 1 |
| N. Naujoks | 23 | 6.7 | – | – | – | – | – |
| O. Uddenäs | 23 | 6.6 | – | – | 1 | – | – |
| M. van Duinen | 15 | 6.2 | – | – | – | – | – |
| S. de Moes | 15 | 6.7 | – | – | – | – | – |
not supplied
Not supplied for this match.
available
Excelsior4-2-3-1
2S. Horemans6.0
5C. Widell6.9
16S. Nieuwpoort6.0
22M. Benita6.2
33J. Baas6.9
8C. Sandra6.2
17R. Omorowa6.7
Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.
AZ Alkmaar · Bench
5A. Penetra
11I. Sadiq
12H. Verhulst
17J. Addai
19M. Van Brederode
20R. Owusu-Oduro
21E. Poku
22M. Dekker
28L. Zeefuik
34M. De Wit
44D. Kwakman
45K. Smit
Coach: M. Martens
Excelsior · Bench
11O. Uddenäs
15N. Naujoks
18N. Alblas
21J. Donkor
27R. Eyongo
29M. van Duinen
32S. de Moes
35J. Udenhout
38P. Kuiper
Coach: M. Dijkhuizen
Key players
AZ Alkmaaravailable
- V. Pavlidis · Forward2,115 min in 24 matches · 21 goals · 2 assists
- J. Clasie · Midfielder2,038 min in 23 matches · 2 goals · 3 assists
- D. Møller Wolfe · Defender1,878 min in 24 matches · 1 goal · 2 assists
From player figures for all 24 matches played.
Excelsioravailable
- S. van Gassel · Goalkeeper2,160 min in 24 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
- S. Horemans · Defender2,145 min in 24 matches · 2 goals · 4 assists
- J. Baas · Midfielder1,996 min in 23 matches · 2 goals · 2 assists
From player figures for all 24 matches played.
Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.
Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in Eredivisie 2023/24 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.
Statistical model
Model forecastnot supplied
Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.
No forecast has been computed for this match yet.
Power Index
no Power Index has been computed for this match yet
Founder’s analysis
Founder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Community forecast
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
Analysis from approved contributors
Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.
No contributor has published an analysis of this match.
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Match discussion
Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.
Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.