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FA Cup· 2025/26 · Semi-finals

Manchester City v Southampton

Manchester CityJ. Doku 82′ · Nico 87′
2–1FT · HT 0–0
SouthamptonF. Azaz 79′
  • Kick-off
  • Wembley Stadium, London
  • Referee: C. Pawson
  • Data last checked ; unchanged since

ModelWhat was forecast, what happened

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

What was forecast, and what happened

Statistical model

Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

One match says little: the model's record

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Key eventslimited

  1. 17:15Kick-off
  2. 58′Substitution · Manchester CityJ. Doku on · M. Kovačić off
  3. 58′Substitution · Manchester CitySávio on · P. Foden off
  4. 61′Substitution · SouthamptonC. Larin on · R. Stewart off
  5. 61′Substitution · SouthamptonS. Charles on · C. Bragg off
  6. 71′Substitution · Manchester CityN. O'Reilly on · R. Aït-Nouri off
  7. 71′Substitution · Manchester CityE. Haaland on · O. Marmoush off
  8. 76′Substitution · SouthamptonK. Matsuki on · Welington off
  9. 79′Goal · SouthamptonF. Azaz · (assist K. Matsuki)
  10. 82′Goal · Manchester CityJ. Doku · (assist T. Reijnders)
  11. 85′Substitution · Manchester CityB. Silva on · T. Reijnders off
  12. 87′Goal · Manchester CityNico · (assist J. Doku)
  13. 89′Substitution · SouthamptonC. Archer on · J. Bree off
  14. 89′Substitution · SouthamptonS. Edozie on · T. Fellows off
  15. 90+3′Yellow card · SouthamptonT. Harwood-Bellis

Match summary

No summary has been written for this match yet.

Statisticslimited

  • 11Blocked shots1
  • 10Corners3
  • 2.27Expected goals (xG)0.30
  • 9Fouls9
  • 2Offsides3
  • 90%Pass accuracy74%
  • 619Passes271
  • 557Accurate passes201
  • 69%Possession31%
  • 2Saves3
  • 26Shots4
  • 9Shots off target0
  • 6Shots on target3
  • 0Yellow cards1

Player statisticslimited

Scroll sideways to see every column.

Manchester City
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
J. Trafford907.2–0–––
J. Stones907.2–0–31
M. Nunes906.6–0–2–
N. Aké907.0–0––1
Nico908.71023–
R. Cherki906.9–0141
T. Reijnders856.9–132–
O. Marmoush716.3–03––
R. Aït-Nouri717.5–0–2–
M. Kovačić587.3–011–
P. Foden586.9–0111
J. Doku3210.01115–
Sávio326.6–03–2
E. Haaland196.6–0–––
N. O'Reilly196.7–0–1–
B. Silva136.6–0–––
Southampton
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
C. Jander907.2–0––7
D. Peretz906.0–0–––
F. Azaz907.310122
L. Scienza906.5–0––2
N. Wood906.6–0–––
T. Harwood-Bellis906.7–0––2
J. Bree896.3–0––3
T. Fellows896.2–0––1
Welington767.3–0––4
C. Bragg616.6–0––1
R. Stewart616.2–01–1
C. Larin296.2–0–1–
S. Charles296.9–0––1
K. Matsuki147.9–1111
C. Archer96.3–0–––
S. Edozie96.5–0–––

xG (Highlightly)not supplied

Not supplied for this match.

Line-upslimited

Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.

Manchester City · Bench

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Southampton · Bench

Coach: Tonda Eckert

Key players

Manchester Cityavailable

  1. A. Khusanov · Defender360 min in 4 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
  2. J. Trafford · Goalkeeper360 min in 4 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
  3. T. Reijnders · Midfielder289 min in 4 matches · 1 goal · 0 assists

From player figures for all 4 matches played.

Southamptonavailable

  1. N. Wood · Defender328 min in 4 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
  2. R. Manning · Defender299 min in 3 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
  3. C. Bragg · Midfielder290 min in 4 matches · 1 goal · 0 assists

From player figures for all 4 matches played.

Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.

Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in FA Cup 2025/26 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.

Statistical model

Model forecastnot supplied

Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.

No forecast has been computed for this match yet.

How accurate has the model been?

Power Index

no Power Index has been computed for this match yet

Founder’s analysis

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Your prediction Locked at kick-off

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Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.

Community forecast

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Analysis from approved contributors

Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.

No contributor has published an analysis of this match.

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Match discussion

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Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.