ModelWhat was forecast, what happened
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
← ScoresTimes: UK time
Copa del Rey· 2025/26 · Final
Atlético Madrid v Real Sociedad
Atlético MadridA. Lookman 18′ · J. Álvarez 83′
2–2Pens · HT 1–2
Real SociedadA. Barrenetxea 1′ · M. Oyarzabal 45′- Kick-off
- Referee: J. Alberola
- Pens 3–4
- Last data update
What was forecast, and what happened
Statistical model
Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
One match says little: the model's recordFounder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
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HT
- 20:00Kick-off
- 1′Goal · Real SociedadA. Barrenetxea · (assist G. Guedes)
- 18′Goal · Atlético MadridA. Lookman · (assist A. Griezmann)
- 30′Yellow card · Real SociedadM. Oyarzabal
- 33′Yellow card · Atlético MadridR. Le Normand
- 43′Yellow card · Atlético MadridJ. Musso
- 45′Penalty · Real SociedadM. Oyarzabal
- 62′Substitution · Atlético MadridA. Sørloth on · M. Ruggeri off
- 62′Substitution · Atlético MadridN. González on · A. Lookman off
- 68′Substitution · Real SociedadJ. Gorrotxategi on · B. Turrientes off
- 68′Substitution · Real SociedadP. Marín on · A. Barrenetxea off
- 70′Substitution · Atlético MadridA. Baena on · G. Simeone off
- 70′Substitution · Atlético MadridT. Almada on · A. Griezmann off
- 78′Substitution · Atlético MadridJ. Cardoso on · N. Molina off
- 78′Substitution · Real SociedadO. Óskarsson on · M. Oyarzabal off
- 78′Substitution · Real SociedadA. Muñoz on · G. Guedes off
- 83′Goal · Atlético MadridJ. Álvarez · (assist T. Almada)
- 88′Substitution · Real SociedadT. Kubo on · S. Gómez off
- 99′Substitution · Atlético MadridC. Lenglet on · M. Llorente off
- 113′Substitution · Real SociedadA. Elustondo on · J. Aramburu off
- 120+1′Yellow card · Real SociedadA. Elustondo
- 120′Yellow card · Real SociedadJ. Gorrotxategi
Match summary
No summary has been written for this match yet.
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- 4Blocked shots7
- 5Corners6
- 17Fouls17
- 1Offsides2
- 86%Pass accuracy76%
- 708Passes416
- 607Accurate passes315
- 63%Possession37%
- 4Saves2
- 19Shots15
- 11Shots off target2
- 4Shots on target6
- 2Yellow cards3
Expected goals (xG): not available for this match.not supplied
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Scroll sideways to see every column.
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Musso | 120 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| J. Álvarez | 120 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | – |
| Koke | 120 | 8.2 | – | 0 | – | 3 | 2 |
| M. Pubill | 120 | 6.6 | – | 0 | – | – | 3 |
| R. Le Normand | 120 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| M. Llorente | 99 | 7.9 | – | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| N. Molina | 78 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| A. Griezmann | 70 | 6.9 | – | 1 | 2 | 2 | – |
| G. Simeone | 70 | 6.5 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| A. Lookman | 62 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | – |
| M. Ruggeri | 62 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | 2 |
| A. Sørloth | 58 | 5.3 | – | 0 | 2 | – | – |
| N. González | 58 | 7.3 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 2 |
| A. Baena | 50 | 6.7 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| T. Almada | 50 | 7.2 | – | 1 | – | 1 | 1 |
| J. Cardoso | 42 | 6.9 | – | 0 | 1 | – | 3 |
| C. Lenglet | 21 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Soler | 120 | 5.9 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| D. Ćaleta-Car | 120 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| J. Martín | 120 | 7.0 | – | 0 | – | – | 2 |
| L. Sučić | 120 | 7.0 | – | 0 | 1 | – | 4 |
| U. Marrero | 120 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| J. Aramburu | 113 | 6.9 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 5 |
| S. Gómez | 88 | 6.0 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| G. Guedes | 78 | 7.3 | – | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| M. Oyarzabal | 78 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| A. Barrenetxea | 68 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | – | – |
| B. Turrientes | 68 | 6.3 | – | 0 | 1 | – | – |
| J. Gorrotxategi | 52 | 6.6 | – | 0 | – | – | 2 |
| P. Marín | 52 | 6.2 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| A. Muñoz | 42 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | 3 |
| O. Óskarsson | 42 | 6.3 | – | 0 | 2 | – | – |
| T. Kubo | 32 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 1 |
| A. Elustondo | 8 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
not supplied
Not supplied for this match.
limited
Real Sociedad4-2-3-1
13U. Marrero6.3
Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.
Atlético Madrid · Bench
4R. Mendoza
5J. Cardoso
8P. Barrios
9A. Sørloth
10A. Baena
11T. Almada
13J. Oblak
15C. Lenglet
21O. Vargas
23N. González
32J. Boñar
Coach: D. Simeone
Real Sociedad · Bench
1A. Remiro
3A. Muñoz
4J. Gorrotxategi
6A. Elustondo
9O. Óskarsson
12Y. Herrera
14T. Kubo
15P. Marín
22Wesley
23B. Méndez
38L. Beitia
Coach: Pellegrino Matarazzo
Key players
Atlético Madridavailable
- J. Musso · Goalkeeper457 min in 5 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
- D. Hancko · Defender447 min in 5 matches · 1 goal · 0 assists
- A. Griezmann · Forward435 min in 5 matches · 5 goals · 0 assists
From player figures for all 5 matches played.
Real Sociedadlimited
- C. Soler · Midfielder432 min in 5 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
- S. Gómez · Defender406 min in 5 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
- G. Guedes · Midfielder404 min in 5 matches · 1 goal · 3 assists
From player figures for 5 of 7 matches played: the other matches have none, so these totals are a floor.
Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.
Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in Copa del Rey 2025/26 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.
Statistical model
Model forecastnot supplied
Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.
No forecast has been computed for this match yet.
Power Index
no Power Index has been computed for this match yet
Founder’s analysis
Founder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Your prediction Locked at kick-off
Sign in to predict this match. Predictions need a verified account and lock at kick-off.
Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.
Community forecast
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
Analysis from approved contributors
Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.
No contributor has published an analysis of this match.
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Match discussion
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Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.