Skip to content

Moments that matter

16 live

Picked from 33 matches by what is happening and what the model expected

Leagues

← ScoresTimes: UK time

Sign in to follow this match

Bundesliga· 2024/25 · Matchweek 33

Bayer Leverkusen v Borussia Dortmund

Bayer LeverkusenJ. Frimpong 30′ · J. Hofmann 90+2′
2–4FT · HT 1–2
Borussia DortmundJ. Brandt 33′ · J. Ryerson 43′ · K. Adeyemi 73′ · S. Guirassy 77′
  • Kick-off
  • BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen
  • Referee: D. Aytekin
  • Data last checked ; unchanged since

ModelWhat was forecast, what happened

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

What was forecast, and what happened

Statistical model

Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

One match says little: the model's record

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Key eventsavailable

  1. 14:30Kick-off
  2. 20′VAR · Bayer Leverkusen · Penalty cancelledA. Grimaldo
  3. 23′Yellow card · Borussia DortmundP. Groß
  4. 30′Goal · Bayer LeverkusenJ. Frimpong · (assist F. Wirtz)
  5. 33′Goal · Borussia DortmundJ. Brandt · (assist K. Adeyemi)
  6. 43′Goal · Borussia DortmundJ. Ryerson · (assist P. Groß)
  7. 45+2′Yellow card · Borussia DortmundF. Nmecha
  8. 46′Substitution · Borussia DortmundM. Sabitzer on · F. Nmecha off
  9. 59′Substitution · Bayer LeverkusenJ. Hofmann on · N. Tella off
  10. 59′Substitution · Bayer LeverkusenP. Schick on · A. Adli off
  11. 67′Substitution · Bayer LeverkusenE. Palacios on · R. Andrich off
  12. 73′Goal · Borussia DortmundK. Adeyemi · (assist J. Brandt)
  13. 74′Substitution · Borussia DortmundE. Can on · K. Adeyemi off
  14. 77′Goal · Borussia DortmundS. Guirassy
  15. 78′Substitution · Bayer LeverkusenArthur on · P. Hincapié off
  16. 78′Substitution · Bayer LeverkusenA. García on · G. Xhaka off
  17. 82′Substitution · Borussia DortmundS. Özcan on · P. Groß off
  18. 87′Substitution · Borussia DortmundY. Couto on · J. Ryerson off
  19. 87′Substitution · Borussia DortmundJ. Gittens on · J. Brandt off
  20. 90+2′Goal · Bayer LeverkusenJ. Hofmann · (assist F. Wirtz)

Match summary

No summary has been written for this match yet.

Statisticsavailable

  • 6Blocked shots2
  • 12Corners0
  • 2.20Expected goals (xG)1.16
  • 7Fouls8
  • 5Offsides1
  • 89%Pass accuracy79%
  • 605Passes385
  • 538Accurate passes304
  • 62%Possession38%
  • 1Saves8
  • 19Shots9
  • 3Shots off target2
  • 10Shots on target5
  • 0Yellow cards2

Player statisticsavailable

Scroll sideways to see every column.

Bayer Leverkusen
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
A. Grimaldo907.0–0121
E. Tapsoba906.5–0––2
F. Wirtz908.2–234–
J. Frimpong907.710122
J. Tah906.2–01–1
L. Hrádecký905.9–0–––
G. Xhaka786.9–0–13
P. Hincapié786.9–0–14
R. Andrich677.3–01–1
A. Adli597.0–023–
N. Tella596.7–022–
J. Hofmann317.0101––
P. Schick316.5–0–––
E. Palacios236.6–0––2
A. García126.9–01––
Arthur126.9–0–––
Borussia Dortmund
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
D. Svensson906.9–0––2
G. Kobel908.5–0–––
N. Süle907.2–0–13
R. Bensebaini906.9–0––3
S. Guirassy907.910211
W. Anton906.9–0–––
J. Brandt878.311222
J. Ryerson877.2101–3
P. Groß826.9–1–1–
K. Adeyemi747.61111–
F. Nmecha456.7–0–––
M. Sabitzer456.7–01–1
E. Can166.5–0––1
J. Gittens86.5–0–––
S. Özcan86.2–0–––
Y. Couto86.7–0–––

xG (Highlightly)not supplied

Not supplied for this match.

Line-upsavailable

Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.

Bayer Leverkusen · Bench

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Borussia Dortmund · Bench

Coach: Niko Kovac

Key players

Bayer Leverkusenavailable

  1. G. Xhaka · Midfielder2,813 min in 32 matches · 2 goals · 7 assists
  2. J. Tah · Defender2,790 min in 31 matches · 3 goals · 0 assists
  3. A. Grimaldo · Midfielder2,527 min in 30 matches · 2 goals · 7 assists

From player figures for all 32 matches played.

Borussia Dortmundavailable

  1. G. Kobel · Goalkeeper2,700 min in 30 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
  2. S. Guirassy · Forward2,427 min in 28 matches · 19 goals · 2 assists
  3. P. Groß · Midfielder2,255 min in 29 matches · 0 goals · 8 assists

From player figures for all 32 matches played.

Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.

Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in Bundesliga 2024/25 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.

Statistical model

Model forecastnot supplied

Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.

No forecast has been computed for this match yet.

How accurate has the model been?

Power Index

no Power Index has been computed for this match yet

Founder’s analysis

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Your prediction Locked at kick-off

Sign in to predict this match. Predictions need a verified account and lock at kick-off.

Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.

Community forecast

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Analysis from approved contributors

Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.

No contributor has published an analysis of this match.

Where to watch

Choose your territory to see where this match is shown. It is never guessed from your address.

Match discussion

Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.

Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.