ModelWhat was forecast, what happened
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
← ScoresTimes: UK time
Ekstraklasa· 2025/26 · Matchweek 23
Lech Poznań v Raków Częstochowa
Lech PoznańM. Ishak 19′ · L. Palma 45′ · A. Milić 55′ · Y. Agnero 90′
4–3FT · HT 2–2
Raków CzęstochowaJ. Braut Brunes 8′ · J. Carlos Silva 37′ · I. López 73′- Kick-off
- Referee: B. Frankowski
- Last data update
What was forecast, and what happened
Statistical model
Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
One match says little: the model's recordFounder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
available
HT
- 16:30Kick-off
- 3′Yellow card · Lech PoznańR. Gumny
- 5′Yellow card · Lech PoznańB. Mrozek
- 8′Penalty · Raków CzęstochowaJ. Braut Brunes
- 17′VAR · Lech Poznań · Penalty confirmedA. Gholizadeh
- 19′Penalty · Lech PoznańM. Ishak
- 37′Goal · Raków CzęstochowaJ. Carlos Silva
- 41′Yellow card · Raków CzęstochowaJ. Braut Brunes
- 45′Goal · Lech PoznańL. Palma · (assist A. Gholizadeh)
- 46′Substitution · Lech PoznańJ. Pereira on · R. Gumny off
- 54′Substitution · Raków CzęstochowaL. Diaby-Fadiga on · P. Makuch off
- 55′Goal · Lech PoznańA. Milić
- 68′Substitution · Raków CzęstochowaM. Bulat on · K. Struski off
- 68′Substitution · Raków CzęstochowaS. Svarnas on · A. Mosór off
- 69′Substitution · Lech PoznańD. Håkans on · L. Bengtsson off
- 70′Yellow card · Lech PoznańA. Kozubal
- 71′Yellow card · Lech PoznańA. Milić
- 73′Goal · Raków CzęstochowaI. López
- 78′Substitution · Lech PoznańP. Wålemark on · L. Palma off
- 79′Substitution · Lech PoznańY. Agnero on · M. Ishak off
- 84′VAR · Raków Częstochowa · Goal disallowedS. Svarnas
- 87′Substitution · Lech PoznańT. Ouma on · A. Kozubal off
- 87′Substitution · Raków CzęstochowaP. Dawidowicz on · J. Carlos Silva off
- 87′Substitution · Raków CzęstochowaI. Brusberg on · I. López off
- 90′Goal · Lech PoznańY. Agnero
Match summary
No summary has been written for this match yet.
available
- 7Blocked shots3
- 6Corners2
- 2.77Expected goals (xG)1.93
- 18Fouls12
- 0Offsides2
- 79%Pass accuracy77%
- 371Passes327
- 292Accurate passes251
- 54%Possession46%
- 4Saves8
- 24Shots14
- 6Shots off target4
- 11Shots on target7
- 4Yellow cards1
available
Scroll sideways to see every column.
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gholizadeh | 90 | 7.2 | – | 1 | – | 6 | – |
| A. Milić | 90 | 6.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | – | 1 |
| B. Mrozek | 90 | 6.0 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| M. Gurgul | 90 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | 1 | – |
| P. Rodríguez | 90 | 6.2 | – | 0 | 1 | 3 | – |
| W. Mońka | 90 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 1 |
| A. Kozubal | 87 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | – | 2 |
| M. Ishak | 79 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| L. Palma | 78 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| L. Bengtsson | 69 | 6.9 | – | 0 | 2 | – | 2 |
| J. Pereira | 45 | 6.9 | – | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| R. Gumny | 45 | 5.6 | – | 0 | – | 2 | – |
| D. Håkans | 21 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| T. Ouma | 14 | 6.6 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| P. Wålemark | 12 | 6.9 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| Y. Agnero | 11 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | – | – |
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Racovițan | 90 | 6.3 | – | 0 | 2 | – | 1 |
| F. Tudor | 90 | 5.9 | – | 0 | – | 1 | 2 |
| J. Braut Brunes | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | – |
| M. Ameyaw | 90 | 6.7 | – | 0 | – | 2 | 2 |
| O. Zych | 90 | 7.3 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| O. Repka | 90 | 6.2 | – | 0 | 1 | – | – |
| I. López | 87 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| J. Carlos Silva | 87 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | – | 1 |
| A. Mosór | 68 | 5.9 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| K. Struski | 68 | 7.2 | – | 0 | – | 1 | – |
| P. Makuch | 54 | 7.3 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| L. Diaby-Fadiga | 36 | 6.5 | – | 0 | 2 | – | – |
| M. Bulat | 22 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | 2 | – |
| S. Svarnas | 22 | 6.3 | – | 0 | – | – | 1 |
| I. Brusberg | 14 | 6.5 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
| P. Dawidowicz | 14 | 6.2 | – | 0 | – | – | – |
not supplied
Not supplied for this match.
available
Raków Częstochowa3-4-3
41B. Mrozek6.0
Lech Poznań4-4-2
Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.
Lech Poznań · Bench
1P. Andreev
2J. Pereira
3A. Douglas
4J. Moutinho
6T. Ouma
7Y. Agnero
10P. Wålemark
11D. Håkans
23G. Thordarson
72M. Skrzypczak
88T. Ismaheel
Coach: Niels Frederiksen
Raków Częstochowa · Bench
1K. Trelowski
4S. Svarnas
5M. Bulat
8T. Pieńko
11Adriano
17L. Rocha
27P. Dawidowicz- 29W. Zolneczko
35M. Ilenič
39I. Brusberg
44B. Mirčetić
80L. Diaby-Fadiga
Coach: Lukasz Tomczyk
Key players
Lech Poznańavailable
- B. Mrozek · Goalkeeper1,988 min in 22 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
- A. Kozubal · Midfielder1,631 min in 21 matches · 0 goals · 1 assist
- A. Milić · Defender1,593 min in 19 matches · 1 goal · 1 assist
From player figures for all 22 matches played.
Raków Częstochowaavailable
- S. Svarnas · Defender1,637 min in 19 matches · 0 goals · 1 assist
- B. Racovițan · Defender1,530 min in 18 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
- J. Braut Brunes · Forward1,476 min in 20 matches · 10 goals · 0 assists
From player figures for all 22 matches played.
Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.
Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in Ekstraklasa 2025/26 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.
Statistical model
Model forecastnot supplied
Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.
No forecast has been computed for this match yet.
Power Index
no Power Index has been computed for this match yet
Founder’s analysis
Founder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Your prediction Locked at kick-off
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Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.
Community forecast
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
Analysis from approved contributors
Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.
No contributor has published an analysis of this match.
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Match discussion
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