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La Liga· 2024/25 · Matchweek 27

Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano

Real MadridK. Mbappé 30′ · Vinicius Junior 34′
2–1FT · HT 2–1
Rayo VallecanoP. Díaz 45+2′
  • Kick-off
  • Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
  • Referee: Francisco Hernández
  • Data last checked ; unchanged since

ModelWhat was forecast, what happened

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

What was forecast, and what happened

Statistical model

Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

One match says little: the model's record

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Key eventsavailable

  1. 15:15Kick-off
  2. 30′Goal · Real MadridK. Mbappé
  3. 34′Goal · Real MadridVinicius Junior · (assist L. Modrić)
  4. 45+3′VAR · Rayo Vallecano · Goal standsP. Díaz
  5. 45+2′Goal · Rayo VallecanoP. Díaz · (assist Á. García)
  6. 63′Yellow card · Rayo VallecanoG. Gumbau
  7. 68′Substitution · Real MadridF. Valverde on · Rodrygo off
  8. 70′Substitution · Rayo VallecanoÓ. Valentín on · A. Embarba off
  9. 70′Substitution · Rayo VallecanoI. Balliu on · P. Díaz off
  10. 70′Substitution · Rayo VallecanoÓ. Trejo on · G. Gumbau off
  11. 79′Yellow card · Real MadridVinicius Junior
  12. 79′Substitution · Real MadridE. Camavinga on · K. Mbappé off
  13. 85′Yellow card · Real MadridA. Tchouaméni
  14. 85′Substitution · Rayo VallecanoS. Guardiola on · A. Espino off
  15. 85′Substitution · Rayo VallecanoU. López on · P. Ismaël Ciss off
  16. 86′Substitution · Real MadridB. Díaz on · J. Bellingham off
  17. 90+2′Yellow card · Real MadridL. Modrić

Match summary

No summary has been written for this match yet.

Statisticsavailable

  • 2Blocked shots6
  • 4Corners6
  • 1.60Expected goals (xG)1.02
  • 12Fouls17
  • 3Offsides1
  • 88%Pass accuracy90%
  • 465Passes544
  • 410Accurate passes490
  • 46%Possession54%
  • 5Saves3
  • 10Shots20
  • 3Shots off target8
  • 5Shots on target6
  • 3Yellow cards1

Player statisticsavailable

Scroll sideways to see every column.

Real Madrid
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
A. Lunin907.6–0–––
A. Tchouaméni907.2–0––1
D. Alaba907.2–0––1
F. García907.2–01–3
L. Vázquez906.7–0––1
L. Modrić908.2–1–44
R. Asencio906.3–0––1
Vinicius Junior907.61032–
J. Bellingham867.2–0––8
K. Mbappé797.2104––
Rodrygo686.9–0–12
F. Valverde226.6–0–––
E. Camavinga116.5–0–––
B. Díaz86.5–0–––
Rayo Vallecano
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
Á. García907.2–1331
A. Rațiu906.5–01–3
A. Hernández906.9–02–1
A. Batalla906.9–0–––
F. Lejeune906.3–0–12
P. Chavarría906.6–0–2–
A. Espino856.6–0––5
P. Ismaël Ciss856.3–0111
A. Embarba706.7–0211
G. Gumbau706.5–01––
P. Díaz707.510212
I. Balliu206.6–0–––
Ó. Trejo207.0–012–
Ó. Valentín206.3–0–––
S. Guardiola96.3–0–––
U. López96.6–011–

xG (Highlightly)not supplied

Not supplied for this match.

Line-upsavailable

Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.

Real Madrid · Bench

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Key players

Real Madridavailable

  1. F. Valverde · Midfielder2,102 min in 24 matches · 5 goals · 3 assists
  2. K. Mbappé · Forward2,080 min in 24 matches · 17 goals · 3 assists
  3. T. Courtois · Goalkeeper2,070 min in 23 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists

From player figures for all 26 matches played.

Rayo Vallecanoavailable

  1. F. Lejeune · Defender2,336 min in 26 matches · 0 goals · 2 assists
  2. A. Rațiu · Defender2,089 min in 24 matches · 2 goals · 2 assists
  3. A. Mumin · Defender2,020 min in 24 matches · 2 goals · 1 assist

From player figures for all 26 matches played.

Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.

Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in La Liga 2024/25 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.

Statistical model

Model forecastnot supplied

Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.

No forecast has been computed for this match yet.

How accurate has the model been?

Power Index

no Power Index has been computed for this match yet

Founder’s analysis

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Your prediction Locked at kick-off

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Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.

Community forecast

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Analysis from approved contributors

Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.

No contributor has published an analysis of this match.

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Match discussion

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Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.