FA Cup

England · 2026/27

2026/27

MODEL

In this league · October 2026

limited

27%favourite won

0.328RPS (0.263 guessing)

11matches

Limited: fewer than 30 matches is too few to judge the model in one league.

Month by month
Month	Matches	favourite won	RPS	RPS if guessing	Coverage
October 2026	11	27%	0.328	0.263	limited
All months	11	27%	0.328	0.263	limited

By month of kick-off (UTC). For RPS, Brier and log loss, lower is better.

Model versions: dixon-coles-elo@0.6.0.

The statistical model’s published forecasts only: the founder’s analysis and the community’s picks are not counted.