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Bundesliga· 2024/25 · Matchweek 27

Borussia Dortmund v Mainz

Borussia DortmundM. Beier 39′, 72′ · E. Can 42′
3–1FT · HT 2–0
MainzP. Nebel 76′
  • Kick-off
  • SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund
  • Referee: D. Schlager
  • Data last checked ; unchanged since

ModelWhat was forecast, what happened

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

What was forecast, and what happened

Statistical model

Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

One match says little: the model's record

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Key eventsavailable

  1. 16:30Kick-off
  2. 39′Goal · Borussia DortmundM. Beier · (assist K. Adeyemi)
  3. 42′Goal · Borussia DortmundE. Can · (assist N. Schlotterbeck)
  4. 45′Yellow card · Borussia DortmundY. Couto
  5. 62′Substitution · Borussia DortmundD. Svensson on · Y. Couto off
  6. 65′Substitution · MainzH. Hyun-Seok on · L. Jae-Sung off
  7. 66′Substitution · MainzN. Veratschnig on · S. Widmer off
  8. 71′Substitution · MainzN. Weiper on · J. Burkardt off
  9. 72′Goal · Borussia DortmundM. Beier · (assist N. Schlotterbeck)
  10. 76′Goal · MainzP. Nebel · (assist N. Amiri)
  11. 79′Substitution · Borussia DortmundC. Chukwuemeka on · J. Brandt off
  12. 79′Substitution · Borussia DortmundN. Süle on · S. Özcan off
  13. 87′Substitution · MainzA. Sieb on · P. Nebel off
  14. 88′Substitution · MainzA. Nordin on · A. Caci off
  15. 89′Yellow card · Borussia DortmundN. Schlotterbeck
  16. 90′Substitution · Borussia DortmundJ. Gittens on · K. Adeyemi off
  17. 90+1′Substitution · Borussia DortmundR. Bensebaini on · W. Anton off

Match summary

No summary has been written for this match yet.

Statisticsavailable

  • 6Blocked shots5
  • 6Corners4
  • 2.78Expected goals (xG)0.81
  • 10Fouls8
  • 2Offsides2
  • 75%Pass accuracy79%
  • 424Passes534
  • 317Accurate passes422
  • 44%Possession56%
  • 2Saves4
  • 18Shots12
  • 5Shots off target4
  • 7Shots on target3
  • 2Yellow cards0

Player statisticsavailable

Scroll sideways to see every column.

Borussia Dortmund
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
E. Can907.6101–1
G. Kobel906.7–0–––
J. Ryerson907.2–01–5
M. Beier908.72042–
N. Schlotterbeck908.2–2332
P. Groß906.9–01–1
K. Adeyemi896.9–1114
W. Anton897.3–0–14
J. Brandt797.2–0131
S. Özcan797.0–0––2
Y. Couto626.5–0–22
D. Svensson286.3–0–11
C. Chukwuemeka117.2–0–1–
N. Süle117.0–0––1
J. Gittens1––0–––
R. Bensebaini1––0–––
Mainz
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
A. Hanche-Olsen906.3–0––2
D. da Costa906.5–0––2
K. Sano907.2–0–14
M. Jenz908.0–02–7
N. Amiri907.3–1–42
R. Zentner907.0–0–––
A. Caci886.2–011–
P. Nebel887.2101–2
J. Burkardt716.9–0121
L. Jae-Sung666.9–02–3
S. Widmer666.3–0––2
H. Hyun-Seok246.7–0–1–
N. Veratschnig246.2–0–––
N. Weiper196.7–0–––
A. Sieb86.3–0–––
A. Nordin86.7–0––1

xG (Highlightly)not supplied

Not supplied for this match.

Line-upsavailable

Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.

Key players

Borussia Dortmundavailable

  1. G. Kobel · Goalkeeper2,160 min in 24 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
  2. S. Guirassy · Forward2,046 min in 23 matches · 14 goals · 1 assist
  3. N. Schlotterbeck · Defender1,894 min in 22 matches · 0 goals · 2 assists

From player figures for all 26 matches played.

Mainzavailable

  1. R. Zentner · Goalkeeper2,340 min in 26 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
  2. K. Sano · Midfielder2,325 min in 26 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
  3. P. Mwene · Midfielder2,207 min in 26 matches · 0 goals · 4 assists

From player figures for all 26 matches played.

Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.

Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in Bundesliga 2024/25 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.

Statistical model

Model forecastnot supplied

Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.

No forecast has been computed for this match yet.

How accurate has the model been?

Power Index

no Power Index has been computed for this match yet

Founder’s analysis

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Your prediction Locked at kick-off

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Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.

Community forecast

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Analysis from approved contributors

Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.

No contributor has published an analysis of this match.

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Match discussion

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Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.