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Bundesliga· 2023/24 · Matchweek 16

Borussia Dortmund v Mainz

Borussia DortmundJ. Brandt 29′
1–1FT · HT 1–1
MainzS. van den Berg 43′
  • Kick-off
  • BVB Stadion Dortmund, Dortmund
  • Referee: M. Fritz
  • Data last checked ; unchanged since

ModelWhat was forecast, what happened

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

What was forecast, and what happened

Statistical model

Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

One match says little: the model's record

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Key eventsavailable

  1. 19:30Kick-off
  2. 29′Goal · Borussia DortmundJ. Brandt
  3. 39′Yellow card · MainzS. Bell
  4. 43′Goal · MainzS. van den Berg · (assist P. Mwene)
  5. 46′Substitution · Borussia DortmundN. Süle on · M. Hummels off
  6. 63′Substitution · Borussia DortmundS. Haller on · N. Füllkrug off
  7. 63′Substitution · Borussia DortmundS. Bamba on · J. Gittens off
  8. 69′Substitution · MainzJ. Burkardt on · M. Richter off
  9. 69′Substitution · MainzM. Papela on · B. Gruda off
  10. 72′Substitution · Borussia DortmundG. Reyna on · N. Schlotterbeck off
  11. 81′Substitution · Borussia DortmundM. Wolf on · T. Meunier off
  12. 85′Yellow card · MainzJ. Burkardt
  13. 90+2′Yellow card · MainzA. Barkok
  14. 90′Yellow card · MainzT. Krauß
  15. 90+2′Substitution · MainzA. Barkok on · K. Onisiwo off
  16. 90+1′Substitution · MainzD. da Costa on · S. Widmer off

Match summary

No summary has been written for this match yet.

Statisticsavailable

  • 7Blocked shots0
  • 6Corners1
  • 1.21Expected goals (xG)0.95
  • 11Fouls14
  • 1Offsides5
  • 85%Pass accuracy73%
  • 643Passes339
  • 545Accurate passes248
  • 66%Possession34%
  • 5Saves6
  • 22Shots11
  • 8Shots off target5
  • 7Shots on target6
  • 0Yellow cards4

Player statisticsavailable

Scroll sideways to see every column.

Borussia Dortmund
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
D. Malen907.6––4–1
E. Can907.2–––24
G. Kobel907.3–––––
J. Brandt908.51–255
M. Sabitzer907.3––311
R. Bensebaini907.6–––16
T. Meunier816.3––111
N. Schlotterbeck727.0––11–
J. Gittens637.2––213
N. Füllkrug636.9––12–
M. Hummels457.3––123
N. Süle456.9–––1–
S. Bamba276.3–––––
S. Haller236.3–––––
G. Reyna186.9–––11
M. Wolf96.3–––––
Mainz
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
D. Batz907.3–––––
D. Kohr907.3–––32
L. Jae-Sung907.2––112
P. Mwene907.7–1211
S. van den Berg907.61–1––
S. Bell906.7–––––
T. Krauß906.3–––18
K. Onisiwo896.9––1–2
S. Widmer896.3––––1
B. Gruda696.3––111
M. Richter696.9––3––
J. Burkardt216.2––1––
M. Papela217.2––11–
A. Barkok1––––––
D. da Costa1–––––1

xG (Highlightly)not supplied

Not supplied for this match.

Line-upsavailable

Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.

Key players

Borussia Dortmundavailable

  1. G. Kobel · Goalkeeper1,286 min in 15 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
  2. N. Schlotterbeck · Defender1,234 min in 14 matches · 1 goal · 0 assists
  3. J. Brandt · Midfielder1,125 min in 15 matches · 4 goals · 7 assists

From player figures for all 15 matches played.

Mainzavailable

  1. L. Barreiro · Midfielder1,250 min in 14 matches · 2 goals · 0 assists
  2. A. Caci · Defender1,150 min in 14 matches · 2 goals · 0 assists
  3. S. van den Berg · Defender1,128 min in 14 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists

From player figures for all 15 matches played.

Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.

Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in Bundesliga 2023/24 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.

Statistical model

Model forecastnot supplied

Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.

No forecast has been computed for this match yet.

How accurate has the model been?

Power Index

no Power Index has been computed for this match yet

Founder’s analysis

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Your prediction Locked at kick-off

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Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.

Community forecast

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Analysis from approved contributors

Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.

No contributor has published an analysis of this match.

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Match discussion

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