Big one tonight
Everton
CoventryModelEverton 55%, the draw 29%, Coventry 16%.
Closest call
Gaziantep
KasımpaşaModel35% · 29% · 36%: the most even match still to start.
UpsetFT
Celta Vigo1
Union Saint-Gilloise2ModelUnion Saint-Gilloise won; the model gave them 28%.UpsetFT
Sunderland0
Dinamo Zagreb2ModelDinamo Zagreb won; the model gave them 14%.← ScoresTimes: UK time
FA Cup· 2026/27
Connecting to live updates…
Where to watchdixon-coles-elo@0.6.0 · v1 computed 31 Oct, 15:05 UK time, 6 days before kick-off · Early pre-match · fitted 30 Oct on 19,998 matches since Oct 2023 · no Elo prior · inputs limited
Locks UK time
Tap an outcome. No account is needed to choose; an account is needed to save it.
Saving a pick needs a free account. It counts once you confirm your email address before kick-off, when picks lock.
Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.
Recorded once the match kicks off; nothing is shown before then.
Recorded once the match kicks off; nothing is shown before then.
Not supplied for this match.
Not supplied for this match.
Not announced yet: clubs usually name the official line-up about an hour before kick-off, and it is shown here as soon as it reaches us.
No match of this competition played before this one, so no minutes to count yet.
No match of this competition played before this one, so no minutes to count yet.
Availability: absences are not recorded for this competition, so none is claimed.
Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in FA Cup 2026/27 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.
Statistical model
Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.
dixon-coles-elo@0.6.0v1computed
The model sees this as close: AFC Wimbledon is ahead by 3.2 points, which is within the noise of a football match.
Version 1 · Early pre-match · computed · model dixon-coles-elo@0.6.0 · data limited
no Power Index has been computed for this match yet
Founder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.
No contributor has published an analysis of this match.
Choose your territory to see where this match is shown. It is never guessed from your address.
Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.
Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.
