ModelWhat was forecast, what happened
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
← ScoresTimes: UK time
Bundesliga· 2023/24 · Matchweek 25
Bayern Munich v Mainz
Bayern MunichH. Kane 13′, 45+7′, 70′ · L. Goretzka 19′, 90+2′ · T. Müller 47′ · J. Musiala 61′ · S. Gnabry 66′
8–1FT · HT 3–1
MainzN. Amiri 31′- Kick-off
- Fußball Arena München, München
- Referee: P. Ittrich
- Last data update
What was forecast, and what happened
Statistical model
Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.
The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.
One match says little: the model's recordFounder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
available
HT
- 14:30Kick-off
- 5′Yellow card · Bayern MunichK. Laimer
- 13′Goal · Bayern MunichH. Kane · (assist J. Musiala)
- 18′Substitution · Bayern MunichR. Guerreiro on · A. Davies off
- 19′Goal · Bayern MunichL. Goretzka
- 29′VAR · Bayern Munich · Penalty cancelledH. Kane
- 31′Goal · MainzN. Amiri · (assist B. Gruda)
- 35′Substitution · MainzE. Fernandes on · J. Guilavogui off
- 45+7′Goal · Bayern MunichH. Kane · (assist L. Goretzka)
- 47′Goal · Bayern MunichT. Müller · (assist J. Musiala)
- 61′Goal · Bayern MunichJ. Musiala · (assist H. Kane)
- 62′Substitution · Bayern MunichM. Tel on · T. Müller off
- 62′Substitution · Bayern MunichS. Gnabry on · L. Sané off
- 65′Substitution · MainzL. Ajorque on · J. Burkardt off
- 65′Substitution · MainzM. Richter on · L. Jae-Sung off
- 66′Goal · Bayern MunichS. Gnabry · (assist L. Goretzka)
- 70′Goal · Bayern MunichH. Kane
- 71′VAR · Bayern Munich · Goal standsH. Kane
- 75′Substitution · Bayern MunichK. Min-jae on · E. Dier off
- 75′Substitution · Bayern MunichB. Zaragoza on · J. Musiala off
- 76′Substitution · MainzA. Hanche-Olsen on · B. Gruda off
- 76′Substitution · MainzD. da Costa on · T. Krauß off
- 84′Yellow card · MainzS. Widmer
- 90+2′Goal · Bayern MunichL. Goretzka · (assist J. Kimmich)
Match summary
No summary has been written for this match yet.
available
- 7Blocked shots7
- 6Corners7
- 6.41Expected goals (xG)0.84
- 8Fouls7
- 2Offsides1
- 89%Pass accuracy87%
- 568Passes387
- 506Accurate passes337
- 59%Possession41%
- 1Saves4
- 24Shots14
- 5Shots off target5
- 12Shots on target2
- 1Yellow cards1
available
Scroll sideways to see every column.
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Kane | 90 | 9.9 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 |
| J. Kimmich | 90 | 8.7 | – | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| K. Laimer | 90 | 7.2 | – | – | – | 1 | 2 |
| L. Goretzka | 90 | 10.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| M. Neuer | 90 | 6.5 | – | – | – | – | – |
| M. de Ligt | 90 | 7.3 | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
| E. Dier | 75 | 7.3 | – | – | 1 | – | 3 |
| J. Musiala | 75 | 8.6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | – |
| R. Guerreiro | 72 | 7.0 | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| L. Sané | 62 | 7.2 | – | – | – | 3 | – |
| T. Müller | 62 | 7.2 | 1 | – | 2 | – | – |
| M. Tel | 28 | 6.3 | – | – | – | – | – |
| S. Gnabry | 28 | 7.9 | 1 | – | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| A. Davies | 18 | 6.9 | – | – | – | – | 1 |
| B. Zaragoza | 15 | 6.7 | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| K. Min-jae | 15 | 6.9 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Key passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Caci | 90 | 5.3 | – | – | – | 2 | 1 |
| N. Amiri | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | – | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| P. Mwene | 90 | 6.2 | – | – | – | – | 1 |
| R. Zentner | 90 | 6.2 | – | – | – | – | – |
| S. van den Berg | 90 | 6.6 | – | – | 2 | – | 1 |
| S. Widmer | 90 | 6.2 | – | – | 1 | 1 | – |
| B. Gruda | 76 | 6.7 | – | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| T. Krauß | 76 | 7.0 | – | – | – | – | 6 |
| J. Burkardt | 65 | 6.3 | – | – | – | – | – |
| L. Jae-Sung | 65 | 6.6 | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
| E. Fernandes | 55 | 6.3 | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
| J. Guilavogui | 35 | 6.7 | – | – | – | – | 2 |
| L. Ajorque | 25 | 6.3 | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| M. Richter | 25 | 6.7 | – | – | – | – | – |
| A. Hanche-Olsen | 14 | 6.5 | – | – | – | – | 1 |
| D. da Costa | 14 | 6.7 | – | – | – | – | 1 |
not supplied
Not supplied for this match.
available
9H. Kane9.9
Bayern Munich4-2-3-1
Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.
Bayern Munich · Bench
2D. Upamecano
3K. Min-jae
7S. Gnabry
13E. Maxim Choupo-Moting
17B. Zaragoza
22R. Guerreiro
23S. Boey
26S. Ulreich
39M. Tel
Coach: T. Tuchel
Mainz · Bench
Coach: B. Henriksen
Key players
Bayern Munichavailable
- H. Kane · Forward2,131 min in 24 matches · 27 goals · 5 assists
- L. Sané · Midfielder1,931 min in 23 matches · 8 goals · 11 assists
- K. Min-jae · Defender1,598 min in 19 matches · 1 goal · 1 assist
From player figures for all 24 matches played.
Mainzavailable
- S. van den Berg · Defender1,938 min in 23 matches · 2 goals · 0 assists
- L. Barreiro · Midfielder1,847 min in 22 matches · 2 goals · 0 assists
- R. Zentner · Goalkeeper1,800 min in 20 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
From player figures for all 24 matches played.
Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.
Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in Bundesliga 2023/24 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.
Statistical model
Model forecastnot supplied
Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.
No forecast has been computed for this match yet.
Power Index
no Power Index has been computed for this match yet
Founder’s analysis
Founder’s analysis
The founder has not written an analysis of this match.
Community picks
Your prediction Locked at kick-off
Sign in to predict this match. Predictions need a verified account and lock at kick-off.
Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.
Community forecast
Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.
Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.
Analysis from approved contributors
Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.
No contributor has published an analysis of this match.
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Match discussion
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Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.