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EFL Cup· 2025/26 · Round 3

Brentford v Aston Villa

BrentfordA. Hickey 57′
1–1Pens 4–2 · HT 0–1
Aston VillaH. Elliott 43′
  • Kick-off
  • Referee: John Brooks
  • Pens 4–2
  • Last data update

ModelWhat was forecast, what happened

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

What was forecast, and what happened

Statistical model

Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

One match says little: the model's record

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Key eventsavailable

  1. 20:00Kick-off
  2. 25′Yellow card · Aston VillaE. Guessand
  3. 43′Goal · Aston VillaH. Elliott · (assist J. McGinn)
  4. 46′Substitution · BrentfordY. Yarmoliuk on · V. Janelt off
  5. 52′Substitution · BrentfordN. Collins on · K. Ajer off
  6. 57′Goal · BrentfordA. Hickey
  7. 67′Substitution · Aston VillaO. Watkins on · H. Elliott off
  8. 67′Substitution · Aston VillaM. Rogers on · D. Malen off
  9. 68′Yellow card · Aston VillaL. Bogarde
  10. 68′Substitution · BrentfordR. Nelson on · A. Milambo off
  11. 74′Substitution · Aston VillaE. Buendía on · U. Emery off
  12. 74′Substitution · Aston VillaB. Kamara on · L. Bogarde off
  13. 78′Substitution · BrentfordM. Damsgaard on · D. Ouattara off
  14. 78′Substitution · BrentfordM. Kayode on · A. Hickey off
  15. 80′Substitution · Aston VillaJ. Jimoh-Aloba on · E. Guessand off

Match summary

No summary has been written for this match yet.

Statisticsavailable

  • 3Blocked shots1
  • 3Corners3
  • 12Fouls10
  • 8Offsides0
  • 84%Pass accuracy89%
  • 420Passes491
  • 353Accurate passes435
  • 46%Possession54%
  • 5Saves2
  • 10Shots12
  • 4Shots off target5
  • 3Shots on target6
  • 0Yellow cards2

Expected goals (xG): not available for this match.not supplied

Player statisticsavailable

Scroll sideways to see every column.

Brentford
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
B. Arthur907.2–01–2
F. Carvalho907.3–0–23
F. Onyeka906.9–0–11
H. R. Valdimarsson908.0–0–––
R. Henry906.3–01––
S. van den Berg907.3–01–1
A. Hickey787.9101–1
D. Ouattara787.2–0111
A. Milambo686.9–0–13
K. Ajer526.7–0112
V. Janelt456.3–0–13
Y. Yarmoliuk457.2–0––1
N. Collins386.5–0–11
R. Nelson226.9–0–––
M. Kayode126.9–0–––
M. Damsgaard127.5–011–
Aston Villa
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
E. Konsa907.7–0–––
I. Maatsen906.3–02–2
J. McGinn906.3–1–32
M. Bizot907.3–0–––
M. Cash905.9–02–1
P. Torres906.7–011–
E. Guessand805.9–0––2
L. Bogarde746.3–0––1
U. Emery746.3–012–
D. Malen676.2–01––
H. Elliott678.210211
M. Rogers236.6–02––
O. Watkins236.6–0–––
B. Kamara166.6–0–11
E. Buendía166.9–0––1
J. Jimoh-Aloba106.5–0–––

xG (Highlightly)not supplied

Not supplied for this match.

Line-upsavailable

Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.

Key players

Brentfordavailable

  1. F. Carvalho · Forward96 min in 1 match · 1 goal · 0 assists
  2. K. Ajer · Defender96 min in 1 match · 0 goals · 1 assist
  3. H. R. Valdimarsson · Goalkeeper96 min in 1 match · 0 goals · 0 assists

From player figures for all 1 match played.

Aston Villaavailable

No match of this competition played before this one, so no minutes to count yet.

Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.

Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in EFL Cup 2025/26 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.

Statistical model

Model forecastnot supplied

Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.

No forecast has been computed for this match yet.

How accurate has the model been?

Power Index

no Power Index has been computed for this match yet

Founder’s analysis

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Your prediction Locked at kick-off

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Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.

Community forecast

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Analysis from approved contributors

Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.

No contributor has published an analysis of this match.

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Match discussion

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