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Bundesliga· 2022/23 · Matchweek 26

RB Leipzig v Mainz

0–3FT · HT 0–1
MainzM. Ingvartsen 9′ · L. Ajorque 57′ · D. Kohr 67′
  • Kick-off
  • Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
  • Referee: C. Dingert
  • Data last checked ; unchanged since

ModelWhat was forecast, what happened

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

What was forecast, and what happened

Statistical model

Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

One match says little: the model's record

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Key eventsavailable

  1. 14:30Kick-off
  2. 9′Goal · MainzM. Ingvartsen
  3. 37′Yellow card · RB LeipzigK. Kampl
  4. 46′Substitution · RB LeipzigA. Haidara on · K. Kampl off
  5. 56′Substitution · RB LeipzigD. Olmo on · A. Silva off
  6. 57′Goal · MainzL. Ajorque · (assist A. Stach)
  7. 60′Yellow card · MainzA. Caci
  8. 64′Yellow card · MainzM. Ingvartsen
  9. 65′Yellow card · RB LeipzigW. Orbán
  10. 65′Yellow card · RB LeipzigD. Olmo
  11. 65′Yellow card · MainzA. Hanche-Olsen
  12. 67′Goal · MainzD. Kohr
  13. 71′Substitution · RB LeipzigM. Simakan on · J. Gvardiol off
  14. 78′Substitution · MainzD. da Costa on · S. Widmer off
  15. 78′Substitution · MainzL. Jae-Sung on · A. Stach off
  16. 78′Substitution · MainzA. Barkok on · M. Ingvartsen off
  17. 81′Substitution · RB LeipzigL. Klostermann on · K. Laimer off
  18. 88′Substitution · MainzA. Martín on · A. Caci off
  19. 90+1′Substitution · MainzD. Burgzorg on · L. Ajorque off

Match summary

No summary has been written for this match yet.

Statisticsavailable

  • 4Blocked shots8
  • 3Corners4
  • 0.81Expected goals (xG)3.09
  • 13Fouls20
  • 4Offsides0
  • 87%Pass accuracy67%
  • 706Passes308
  • 612Accurate passes207
  • 70%Possession30%
  • 4Saves3
  • 12Shots19
  • 5Shots off target4
  • 3Shots on target7
  • 3Yellow cards3

Player statisticsavailable

Scroll sideways to see every column.

RB Leipzig
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
B. Henrichs906.6–––11
D. Szoboszlai907.9––441
E. Forsberg906.5–––––
J. Blaswich906.6–––––
T. Werner906.2––2––
W. Orbán906.3–––11
K. Laimer816.2––––1
J. Gvardiol716.9–––––
A. Silva566.3––1––
A. Haidara456.7––––1
D. Raum456.3–––1–
K. Kampl456.2–––––
D. Olmo346.5––1––
M. Simakan196.7–––––
L. Klostermann96.3–––––
Mainz
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
A. Hanche-Olsen906.9––113
D. Kohr907.61–221
E. Fernandes907.5–––12
L. Barreiro906.9––2–3
R. Zentner907.6–––––
S. Bell907.2––––3
L. Ajorque898.31–32–
A. Caci887.0–––23
A. Stach787.7–1–41
M. Ingvartsen787.21–3––
S. Widmer787.3––––3
A. Barkok126.5–––––
D. da Costa126.3–––––
L. Jae-Sung126.3–––––
A. Martín2––––1–
D. Burgzorg1––––––

xG (Highlightly)not supplied

Not supplied for this match.

Line-upsavailable

Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.

RB Leipzig4-2-2-2

Only 10 of the eleven starters are named, so this line-up is a list; an unnamed place is not filled in.

Key players

RB Leipzigavailable

  1. W. Orbán · Defender2,141 min in 24 matches · 3 goals · 0 assists
  2. D. Szoboszlai · Midfielder1,812 min in 23 matches · 4 goals · 8 assists
  3. J. Gvardiol · Defender1,672 min in 23 matches · 1 goal · 0 assists

From player figures for all 25 matches played.

Mainzavailable

  1. K. Onisiwo · Forward1,899 min in 23 matches · 9 goals · 1 assist
  2. R. Zentner · Goalkeeper1,710 min in 19 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
  3. E. Fernandes · Defender1,687 min in 23 matches · 0 goals · 2 assists

From player figures for all 25 matches played.

Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.

Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in Bundesliga 2022/23 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.

Statistical model

Model forecastnot supplied

Computed by Stadiomind’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.

No forecast has been computed for this match yet.

How accurate has the model been?

Power Index

no Power Index has been computed for this match yet

Founder’s analysis

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Your prediction Locked at kick-off

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Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.

Community forecast

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Analysis from approved contributors

Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.

No contributor has published an analysis of this match.

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Match discussion

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Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.