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Brasileirão Série A· 2025/26 · Matchweek 21

  • HT 1–0
  • Kick-off
  • Referee: Lucas Casagrande
  • Last data update

Key eventslimited

  1. 88′Substitution · Atlético MineiroG. Menino ↔ M. Jose Iseppe
  2. 81′Goal · São PauloG. Tapia · (assist C. Soares)
  3. 79′Substitution · São PauloA. Silva ↔ G. Tapia
  4. 75′Substitution · Atlético MineiroI. Gomes ↔ Natanael
  5. 68′Substitution · Atlético MineiroA. Franco ↔ G. Scarpa
  6. 67′Substitution · Atlético MineiroJ. Santos ↔ Biel
  7. 63′Substitution · São PauloFerreira ↔ Luciano
  8. 60′Yellow card · Atlético MineiroI. Gomes
  9. 46′Substitution · Atlético MineiroReinier ↔ Alexsander
  10. 45+1′Yellow card · São PauloE. Díaz
  11. 43′Substitution · São PauloM. Antônio ↔ Rodriguinho
  12. 37′Yellow card · Atlético MineiroEverson
  13. 23′Goal · São PauloP. Maia · (assist D. Bobadilla)
  14. 00:30Kick-off

Latest first. Names and minutes are as recorded for the match.

What was forecast, and what happened

Statistical model

Pre-match forecast, frozen at kick-off. It does not update during the match.

The model had no forecast for this match before kick-off.

One match says little: the model's record

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Match summary

No summary has been written for this match yet.

Competition contextavailable

Brasileirão Série A 2025/26

League table, before kick-off

São Paulo

8th of 20 · 29 pts from 20 played

W 7 · D 8 · L 5 · GD +2

Form in this competition only, latest first: D W W W W

  • 14 pts behind first
  • 1 pt behind the place above
  • 2 pts clear of the place below

Atlético Mineiro

12th of 20 · 24 pts from 18 played

W 6 · D 6 · L 6 · GD -1

Form in this competition only, latest first: L D W L L

  • 19 pts behind first
  • 1 pt behind the place above
  • Level on points with the place below

Form here counts only matches in this competition; Recent form counts the last five in every competition.

First: Flamengo, 43 pts

From the 196 finished matches of this table played before kick-off. Last result change .

Where the qualification, promotion and relegation places fall is not in our records, so no gap to them is shown.

Related news

News sources last checked · Stories from –

No publisher has reported on this match or its sides in the week around it.

Statisticslimited

  • 1Blocked shots2
  • 5Corners1
  • 1.64Expected goals (xG)0.10
  • 20Fouls17
  • 0Offsides2
  • 86%Pass accuracy86%
  • 467Passes462
  • 401Accurate passes396
  • 51%Possession49%
  • 0Saves3
  • 10Shots4
  • 4Shots off target2
  • 5Shots on target0
  • 1Yellow cards2

Player statisticslimited

Scroll sideways to see every column.

São Paulo
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
A. Franco907.2–01––
C. Soares907.5–1–32
D. Bobadilla907.7–1225
E. Díaz907.5–0–13
N. Ferraresi908.0–0–17
P. Maia907.6101–4
Rafael906.6–0–––
Sabino906.9–0––3
A. Silva796.9–0–1–
Ferreira636.3–01––
Rodriguinho486.6–02––
M. Antônio436.9–0–1–
Luciano286.9–0112
G. Tapia127.5101––
Atlético Mineiro
PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsKey passesTackles
C. Paulista906.3–01–1
Everson906.9–0–––
F. Vera907.0–0––5
I. Román906.3–0––1
Reinier906.6–0––4
Rony906.9–01–1
V. Hugo906.9–0–––
G. Menino886.6–0–12
I. Gomes756.5–0––1
J. Santos686.9–0–––
A. Franco676.9–0–––
Alexsander516.5–0–14
G. Scarpa246.7–0––1
Biel236.3–0––1
Natanael166.3–0–––
M. Jose Iseppe86.7–0––2

xG (Highlightly)not supplied

Not supplied for this match.

Recent form

São Pauloavailable

  • D1–1 v Atletico NacionalCONMEBOL Libertadores
  • D2–2 at Sport RecifeBrasileirão Série A
  • D0–0 at Atletico NacionalCONMEBOL Libertadores
  • W2–0 v VitóriaBrasileirão Série A
  • W2–1 at InternacionalBrasileirão Série A

Atlético Mineiroavailable

  • L1–3 v GrêmioBrasileirão Série A
  • D1–1 at Vasco da GamaBrasileirão Série A
  • W2–1 v RB BragantinoBrasileirão Série A
  • L0–1 at FlamengoBrasileirão Série A
  • L2–3 at PalmeirasBrasileirão Série A

Head-to-headavailable

  • Atlético Mineiro 0–0 São PauloBrasileirão Série A
  • São Paulo 2–2 Atlético MineiroBrasileirão Série A
  • Atlético Mineiro 2–1 São PauloBrasileirão Série A · Arena MRV
  • Atlético Mineiro 2–1 São PauloBrasileirão Série A · Estádio Mineirão
  • São Paulo 0–2 Atlético MineiroBrasileirão Série A

Line-upslimited

Home side at the bottom. Each player stands where the line-up places him: in his line from the goalkeeper, and on his side of the pitch as his team attacks.

São Paulo · Bench

Coach: Hernan Crespo

Atlético Mineiro · Bench

Coach: not supplied

Availabilitynot supplied

Not supplied for this match.

Key players

São Paulolimited

  1. Rafael · Goalkeeper636 min in 7 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
  2. N. Ferraresi · Defender580 min in 7 matches · 0 goals · 3 assists
  3. D. Bobadilla · Midfielder567 min in 8 matches · 2 goals · 0 assists

From player figures for 8 of 20 matches played: the other matches have none, so these totals are a floor.

Atlético Mineirolimited

  1. A. Franco · Midfielder549 min in 6 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
  2. Y. Vernydub · Defender535 min in 6 matches · 0 goals · 0 assists
  3. G. Scarpa · Midfielder470 min in 6 matches · 1 goal · 0 assists

From player figures for 6 of 18 matches played: the other matches have none, so these totals are a floor.

Availability: not checked for this match yet, so none is claimed.

Key players are each side's 3 with the most minutes in Brasileirão Série A 2025/26 before this match, counted from each match's player figures; a tie on minutes goes to more goals plus assists, then the name. Goals and assists are summed from the same figures. This is a count, not a judgement of quality, and no rating is used.

Match discussion

Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.

Nobody has opened a discussion on this match.

Statistical model

Model forecastnot supplied

Computed by FMIP’s statistical model from match data. Not a person’s opinion.

No forecast has been computed for this match yet.

How accurate has the model been?

Power Index

no Power Index has been computed for this match yet

Founder’s analysis

Founder’s analysis

The founder has not written an analysis of this match.

Community picks

Your prediction Locked at kick-off

Sign in to predict this match. Predictions need a verified account and lock at kick-off.

Your pick counts towards the community picks only; it is never blended with the statistical model or the founder’s analysis.

Community forecast

Fewer than 5 members have predicted this match, so there is no consensus to show yet.

Three separate products. Each has its own source, method and record; none is blended with or relabelled as another.

Analysis from approved contributors

Written by members the platform approved. Not the founder’s analysis, not the statistical model, and not the community consensus.

No contributor has published an analysis of this match.

Where to watch

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Coverage for this season

  • scores: available
  • incidents: limited
  • lineups: limited
  • statistics: limited
  • standings: available
  • availability: not supplied
  • advanced statistics: limited